https://www.theguardian.com/politic...t-deal-would-not-be-a-disaster-says-thinktank
Based on the assumption that the EU wouldn't impose tariffs on British imports
http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2017/01/27/post-brexit-trade-can-thrive-under-wto-rules/
Written in Jan 17. Assumes the City of London has free access to the EU (which has since been ruled out as far as I'm aware). It is highly misleading to mention The Guardian report on Michel Barnier without mentioning that his official spokesman went on record to say it was wrong. Equally there has been a united front from every EU leader on their hardline position. When talking about our trade with South Africa for example it would have been worth mentioning that it is under an EU deal. It is misleading the way it is worded as it implies that is under WTO rules. This applies to other countries quoted as well. It is true that more exports go the US than any individual EU country but it is misleading to say the US is the biggest destination for UK exports without mentioning that more exports go to the EU. Finally, to suggest that government subsidies should be applied to industries that export to the EU is completely mad and goes against the whole 'free trade' concept of liberalising the economy after Brexit.
https://globalbritain.co.uk//wp-con...Soft-Copy-Going-global-without-delay-Body.pdf
Written by a pro-Leave thinktank but never mind...Written in December 16. Assumes the UK should be able to secure a zero tariff-free trade deal with the EU (including financial services) within 24 months of Article 50. If not then WTO rules. Lots of clichés - "Ultimately we have nothing to fear but fear itself" and "This is a once in a generation opportunity for the UK". Focuses on the simple idea that developing countries are growing at a faster rate than developed countries so are better candidates as trading partners. Taking to an extreme let's say Mozambique has a higher rate of GDP growth than Germany at present so we should focus on the former - kind of ignoring the relative scales of each economy involved!
It gives 5 reasons why WTO rules are better - note the absence of facts or figures.
1. Internationally, the UK will have more influence, not less. (nothing is said to back this up other than the UK would have a seat on the WTO council)
2. Following Brexit, the UK will create more trade and jobs, not less (only proof is a reference to the increase in employment in the UK between June and December 16)
3. The UK will restore sovereign control and democratic accountability to its parliament (this one again - objecting to EU laws without quoting any that it disagrees with)
4. The UK will regain control of its own borders. (it's all about immigration)
5. This is the globally moral option as it benefits both buyer and seller
https://www.express.co.uk/news/poli...t-10-year-tariff-free-trade-deal-negotiations
From March 17. "A worry has always been that Britain would not have any deal at the end of the two-year negotiation period, throwing trade rules into chaos. Quotes an unnamed source believing he has found what has been described as a “secret weapon” in Britain’s free trade negotiations with Europe. Thinks there is a clause in the WTO rules that will give Britain 10 years worth of free trade with the EU whenever we want. Although the insider does say that “Of course it would require the agreement of both parties". Funny how it hasn't been mentioned since.
https://www.express.co.uk/news/poli...-latest-UK-EU-news-David-Davis-talks-Brussels
Whole July 17 article based on a Czech Foreign Minister saying that a "much broader, much deeper" free trade deal with the
European Union can be agreed with the UK after Brexit than the one recently signed off with Canada." However, he suggested "that Britain may have to pay for the deal."
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-41806690
Discussed above
https://www.li.com/activities/publi...cess-and-negotiation-of-free-trade-agreements
Feb 17. This doesn't actually say anything at all either way. It just details WTO and EU regulations!
https://news.sky.com/story/brexit-will-not-cause-uk-trade-disruption-wto-boss-10632803
Discussed above