Trump wasn't on the ballot in 2022 so any 'loss' you say he had is dubious at best, some would say utterly irrelevant. I do not know who Matt Goodwin is and have no interest in what he says. I said I predicted a Harris bounce and so did the Trump campaign.
I don't think it's outrageous to suggest Harris would have a honeymoon period with some initial excitement over the new nominee and consequently frothy poll numbers for her. Again, I don't think it's outrageous to suggest this excitement would soon wear off. Here's the Trump campaign memo. It's looks fairly accurate so far:
View attachment 272401
I mean that memo is not confident. It's a lost of excuses why they are doing badly, confident campaigns don't do that. They were also wrong about timing, Harris kept climbing and to the VP pick went very well. So a compendium of errors.
2022 is entirely on Trump. When people were bizarrely predicting a win it was on him. Yet when it goes wrong, it's not on him. That's the fallacy of the thick Trump weirdos. They are too dumb to even have basic levels of criticality, then get confused and angry when the inevitable happens and he doesn't win.
Trumps fans were predicting she would be terrible. She hasn't been. She has all the momentum. She's the fresh new candidate, it's unlikely that wears off any time pre November. Her leads just keeps growing.
If you'd have listened to me, instead of the panicked memos, or the pro Trump clowns trying to make out she's an unpopular candidate, you'd have been better informed weeks ago mate.

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