Current Affairs Donald Trump POS: Judgement cometh and that right soon

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Trump has seen plenty of money on the betting this morning @Moomin @catcherintherye :eek:

I think he is going to do it.

I mean just to add in on this, one interesting thing from this race, is that who people think will win, when polled is vastly different to the polling companies voting figures. So people are voting Biden but think Trump will win.

There is a lot of things that can be drawn from this. Firstly that feeling is likely to impact the betting market (and does, even at relatively close of most money is on Trump. It could be though, that on the ground in America, people get a very different feel and he is fairing a lot better than people think.

My own view is people don't tend to look back more than 1 election in terms of how they feel. 2016 was very influenced by Obama in 2008 & 12 really compounding the polls and outperforming the EC so there was that confidence they'd get through ion 2016 despite polls looking far more dicey. I suspect there's a bit of that in reverse here.

Either way though, Republicans seem very confident and Democrats quite nervous. It doesn't feel the sort of 80-20 it feels from what people think. So things aren't entirely alligned.
 
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