Oh I know what their aim is, but that isn't really what I was talking about. You said 4 of the top 6 were too early in their careers to look at averages. I'm simply saying I disagree in the case of Burns. 20 tests stops being form and starts being a reliable indicator of ability I think. At that point you should have shown what you're capable of. It's different if you're 21/22 like the others, but at Burns's age, if your average isn't great after 20 tests it probably never will be. There's a point at which continuity stops being a virtue, and changing 1 of your top 6 is hardly ripping it up and starting again. Burns has shown himself to be a useful opener who can do a job. Now is the time for him to show that he can consistently score the runs which get us those 400+ totals. We can't always just lay a decent foundation and expect Stokes to score the runs, the others have got to get scores too. Hopefully Burns can do that.
He's played 17 matches for an average of 33 a large percentage in England as an opener against a moving dukes ball.
(Sir) Alastair Cook's (first time I've used his new title lol just not used to it), long career was so meritorious and his incredible average of 45 so good because a large part of his career was in home tests opening the innings against a moving ball.
Andrew Strauss going further back also had an outstanding record as an opener averaging 40.
Opening in England against a dukes ball in green bowler friendly conditions invariably means a fair amount of failures, opening up is normally therefore an extremely specialised position and England possibly the most difficult place to be one.
Burns has had a poor start to this particular series possibly finding it tougher to recapture concentration and form after the long enforced break.
In such an early career each poor score does have a disproportionately larger effect because of his lack of matches already played. The poorer start of 2 or 3 innings from 15 to 17 is 18% of your average being poor, whereas 3 poor innings from 75 wouldn't have any really discernible effect. The point is it's early in his test career and good or poor form will greatly affect an early average.
Alastair Cook was one match from being dropped a couple of times and he was possibly the best English openers of modern times. Opening in England is a very difficult job at test level against real pace and a moving Dukes
There is no risk free better option, Burns deserves his chance after impressing over a long period at the lesser county level. No other opener, not in the current side, has a more consistent record he has to be the best current alternative.
i would say we have on the whole had favourable bowling conditions in England over the last few summers, low scores from both sides being the norm. The dukes selected for the test series have given an advantage and opening here has been difficult.
An average of 40 as an English openers playing at home an awful lot under these conditions is worth far more than an average of 40 for s middle order batsman. One of 33 after 17 tests isn't terrible at this stage
In South Africa he averaged 46.50 but then that's not in England.