Current Affairs Coronavirus Thread - Serious stuff !!!

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Latest figures show nearly 45,000 new cases and 145 deaths. Only Romania has a higher case rate in the world - well done De Piffle, is he back yet from his latest holiday ?

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grandjoeblue said:
Doesn't seem to make sense? Looking online at various studies and the lowest ICU survival rate I've seen is 50%. In the UK around 70-80% of ICU patients survive in the end.

How can only 1 person survive out of 100s?
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Don't know what to tell you. It is the hospital itself reporting she is the first with the delta variant.

The hospital is affiliated with a large university hospital system with more advanced care facilities. Quite possible at the height that folks that had a better chance to survive where transferred to higher level hospitals.

It's also specific to their ICU, not all COVID admitted patients.
 
www.statnews.com

Follow the FDA advisory panel meeting on the J&J Covid vaccine booster - STAT

Helen Branswell and Matthew Herper track Friday's FDA advisory panel meeting on Johnson & Johnson's Covid-19 booster shot.
www.statnews.com www.statnews.com
1:25 p.m.: This is turning out to be a bad meeting for J&J. It’s clearly the view of a lot of VRBPAC members that this vaccine should be a two-dose vaccine. And it’s also apparent that the FDA is thinking about whether the boost for the J&J vaccine should be another brand of vaccine.

There won’t be a vote on that issue this afternoon. Peter Marks, director of the FDA’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, said FDA hasn’t yet had time to analyze thoroughly the data from the NIH’s mix-and-match study.

But VRBPAC chair Arnold Monto asked Marks if it’s possible that at some point there will be an EUA — emergency use authorization — that permits heterologous boosting, i.e. priming with one vaccine and boosting with another.

“I would say it’s possible,” said Marks.

— Helen Branswell
1:30 p.m.: The panel voted on the following question:

Do available data support the safety and effectiveness of Janssen COVID-19 Vaccine for use under EUA as a booster dose in individuals 18 years and older at least 2 months after a single dose primary vaccination?

Yes: 19

No: 0
 
Thursday’s figures

Hospital figures - 134 deaths were announced on Thursday, up 20 on the previous day and up 29 on last Thursday. 91 deaths were in English hospitals, up 14 on the previous day and up 30 on last week. The 7 day rolling average rose to an even 101

All settings - for the 28 day cut off, 157 deaths were announced on Thursday, up 21 on the previous day and up 35 on last Thursday. The 7 day rolling average rose to 117.14

For the 60 day cut off, 191 deaths were announced on Thursday, up 19 on the previous day and up 38 on last Thursday. The 7 day rolling average rose to 145.71

Today’s figures

Hospital figures - 119 deaths were announced today, down 15 on yesterday and down 17 on last Friday’s corrected total of 136. 69 deaths were in English hospitals, down 22 on yesterday and down 1 on last week. The 7 day rolling average falls to 98.57

All settings - for the 28 day cut off, 142 deaths were announced today, down 15 on yesterday and down 5 on last Friday. The 7 day rolling average falls to 116.43

For the 60 day cut off, 164 deaths were announced today, down 27 on yesterday and down 1 on last Friday. The 7 day rolling average falls very slightly to 145.57
 
I assumed that there would be some link (even if not linear) between dose exposure and disease severity but this new paper suggests not

Thus, we conclude that while there is an association between SARS-CoV-2 dose and infection, data do not support a relationship between dose and COVID-19 severity. Non-pharmaceutical interventions may limit the inoculum dose from an exposure, thereby reducing the risk of infection, but they are unlikely to individually have an impact on COVID-19 severity [114,115].
 
BlueStevie35 said:
Another prediction, just like the one about 1000 deaths a day by this point, aimed at scaremongering the public
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Tbf COVID modeling can be very hard.


According to ONS latest survey currently ~8% of English teenagers and ~10% of Welsh teenagers have Covid.

Whether they pass it onto their parents, and especially grandparents, or not makes a huge difference and it would be a lot better if this graph was turning down given relatively slow pace of booster rollout.


And overall it would be better if there was a lot less red on this
 
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