I think that's a pessimism borne from the situation we're in.
Logically though, once this vaccine gets rolling, you'll see a huge difference. It's not Tory spin; there will genuinely be a huge difference by May.
This is what vaccination did to smallpox.
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It won't be the same with COVID as we won't eradicate it, but bare in mind that the smallpox response from 1966 was absolutely nothing compared to how hard and fast we're going to be rolling out the response to COVID internationally.
So here's my prediction, and I'm fairly confident in it.
1. Restrictions will be almost completely gone by May.
2. You'll have a massive public information campaign ahead of Winter 2021 for caution, wearing masks etc. just to be safe, but lockdowns won't exist as we know them now - track and trace will still be a thing and will be able to identify any contacts who haven't been innoculated.
3. There will be a resurgence of it in about 12-18 months from now when the initial immunity wears off, because science simply don't know how long the jab will work for. Once that resurgence occurs, people will be re-innoculated immediately and the spike will last a couple of weeks max. Again, no lockdown here.
4. After that, it basically becomes a variant of the flu. You'll be invited to get a flu jab and a COVID jab probably once a year, unless COVID vaccine effectiveness is longer lasting.