Current Affairs Coronavirus Thread - Serious stuff !!!

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Hospital figures - 192 deaths were announced today, up 66 on yesterday and up 82 on last Thursday. 152 deaths were in English hospitals, up 58 on yesterday and up 71 on last week with 151 occurring in the past 10 days. The 7 day rolling average rises to 119.71

All settings - for the 28 day cut off, 189 deaths were announced today, down 2 on yesterday and up 51 on last Thursday. The 7 day rolling average rises to 150.57

For the 60 day cut off, 202 deaths were announced today, up 2 on yesterday and up 63 on last Thursday. The 7 day rolling average rises to 158.43
...and yet they reopen gyms, leave open schools, colleges, universities and restaurants, and encourage pubs to transform into restaurants.

What great governance.
 
The T&T seem to still be hitting fewer than 50% of positive case close contacts.

Ours is [Poor language removed], the French equivalent is [Poor language removed], Spain's is [Poor language removed], up to a couple of weeks ago, Italy's looked good, but is beginning to look a bit [Poor language removed]. Of the countries in Western Europe with sizable populations, the only country looking OK is Germany, and they're beginning to look a bit ordinary as well.

Once infections start to take off, it's very hard to bring it back under control just with test, trace and isolate without using very strong measures which would normally deemed illegal.

To be fair to all the above countries, the pace of change has surprised many people. The consensus was that infections would rise as older children and young adults returned to FTE and the weather got colder, forcing people indoors, so that other things would have to be squeezed to accomodate that, but R rising to ~1.5 rather than 1.1 to 1.2 seems to have been at the higher range of expectations, and many countries have been overly slow to respond.
 
Ours is [Poor language removed], the French equivalent is [Poor language removed], Spain's is [Poor language removed], up to a couple of weeks ago, Italy's looked good, but is beginning to look a bit [Poor language removed]. Of the countries in Western Europe with sizable populations, the only country looking OK is Germany, and they're beginning to look a bit ordinary as well.

Once infections start to take off, it's very hard to bring it back under control just with test, trace and isolate without using very strong measures which would normally deemed illegal.

To be fair to all the above countries, the pace of change has surprised many people. The consensus was that infections would rise as older children and young adults returned to FTE and the weather got colder, forcing people indoors, so that other things would have to be squeezed to accomodate that, but R rising to ~1.5 rather than 1.1 to 1.2 seems to have been at the higher range of expectations, and many countries have been overly slow to respond.
This is quite an important point and one of the reasons why I have consistently urged caution in respect of the data as, as I'm sure you will be aware with your background, daily news reporting of new cases/tests/deaths when they are not truly representative of a single day's sample is deeply unhelpful to tracking the trajectory of the pandemic course.

It's still quite disconcerting to see people discussing the trajectory as a steady increase without realizing that growth is not linear, it's exponential. So often the suggestion to 'act' comes after the point that control has been lost.

I read a good article earlier about possible methods to control the spread. Worth a read: https://amp.theguardian.com/comment...=Share_iOSApp_Other&__twitter_impression=true
 

Go on then, what’s essential ?
Saying clothes isn’t essential ?

Ridiculous.
Do you buy clothing every two weeks or something?

I think they are going of the basis of the average person has a decent size amount of clothing that will last them two weeks.

Clothes are necessary in your daily life sure but an essential purchase?

Sure if anything people may spend more before the lock down begins might be a win win for stores. Panic buys. Like us Irish and buying alcohol the Thursday before good Friday.
 
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