The term 'second wave' isn't new terminology in epidemiology.
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The term 'second wave' isn't new terminology in epidemiology.
Well the spanish flu pandemic in 1918 had three waves.
Tea_drinker
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Three waves it is then. No more, no less.
spectateur
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But covid19 is not influenza, so nobody knows.
No, the term wasn't invented till this week. Apparently.
brieverton
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I would assume as a layman, that the term "second wave" is only accurate when the first wave was brought under control and then cases start to rise exponentially again.
You might argue that some countries/regions are experiencing the beginning of a second wave, but it wouldn't apply to the United States, as they patently never succeeded in flattening the curve to begin with.
You might argue that some countries/regions are experiencing the beginning of a second wave, but it wouldn't apply to the United States, as they patently never succeeded in flattening the curve to begin with.
It's all terminology and jargon really. You could argue we never eliminated the virus so the first wave is still ongoing.
We are in a much better position than a couple of months ago, but I struggle to see how we eradicate the virus any time soon. We're at the stage where jobs need to actively be saved and kids need to go back to school urgently, yet we know those things are in conflict with eradicating a virus. It's a trade off with neither option close to being ideal.
I think we need to keep removing restrictions and leave it with the individual to choose what things they are comfortable with. Personal responsibility is what we need to see.
We are in a much better position than a couple of months ago, but I struggle to see how we eradicate the virus any time soon. We're at the stage where jobs need to actively be saved and kids need to go back to school urgently, yet we know those things are in conflict with eradicating a virus. It's a trade off with neither option close to being ideal.
I think we need to keep removing restrictions and leave it with the individual to choose what things they are comfortable with. Personal responsibility is what we need to see.
Kenshin
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In all due respect , i haven't come whining to mods.
Tea_drinker
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It was always going to end up in a trade off. And I mean that on a global scale too. Sticking the world on the naughty step for the long term is completely out of the question.
ForeverBlue92
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Whens this kin vaccine ready?
I need my booster shot so I can sniff chanel perfume on the dance floor
I need my booster shot so I can sniff chanel perfume on the dance floor
Not really new, it has been referenced for months.
Tea_drinker
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But that's it though. Just the two? Or this time next year will Hancock be droning on about a 17th wave?
Spadge Vernacular
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There is no definitive just scenario planning along an expected pathway, as is the case with a lot of medical planning.
Have a read around Herald Wave theory relating to the incidence of strains of flu virus from the end of one (flu) season is the same as the strains in the following season's outbreaks. It might give you further insight into possible outcomes of covid.
To a very large degree, that threat for covid will come down to how we manage social distancing and personal hygiene. Some individuals are always going to act irresponsibly and create a threat, thus the consistent communications, guidance, and rules.
With regards to covid and wave theory this article is fairly accessible.
Blueclouds
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Starting to get to me this expecially the masks. This is only because I need to lip read to communicate. I just nod when someone speaks to me with a mask.
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