ForeverBlue92
Player Valuation: £80m
This is it really. If people have been following some of the narrative, it appears the approach will be dance and hammer. Essentially multiple lock downs when cases spike and easing restrictions when the R0 drops to what the government feel is an acceptable level and the cycle begins again.
Despite much of the political language, this isnt about beating the virus completely, its protecting health services from being swamped and managing natural herd immunity and the period until artificial herd immunity (vaccine) can be achieved. The winter i am thinking may be nasty.
If a country stamps out the virus and manages its borders its won the lottery.
Controlled herd immunity as you say appears to be the way forward - but why the Government havent already started nationwide blood testing of the population I'll never know.
Every GP service/walk in should be giving people 5 minute appointments to have a blood sample taken - if someone turns up early have them que up like at the supermarkets and have the people performing the tests kitted out in proper PPE.
Anyone who tests positive for antibodies - add them to a nation wide database and after so many weeks you have an idea of what stage we are at in terms of relaxing the lockdown and if we need to shut back up again once cases spike then do so.
Without testing we are peeing against the wind.
I have read that paper before though, and a central aspect of it seems to be the prevention of transmission if you cough directly at someone stood 8 inches away. I barely get that close to my wife, much less random strangers as I walk about during a period when social distancing is highly encouraged, and certainly not if I feel the need to cough or sneeze.