Current Affairs Coronavirus Thread - Serious stuff !!!

[LinekersLegs]

 

[Dymak]

I agree it's alarming. I have loved ones in exactly this position and it's very difficult to know just how many changes they should make to their lives.

I think there's something we have to realise about our globalised world. It's next to impossible to close the borders to a virus. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...hat-the-1918-flu-teaches-us-about-coronavirus

Don't know if you saw this before, but it's worth a read to at least get an idea of what's informing UK response:

Keep Calm and Wash Your Hands: Britain’s Strategy to Beat Virus

While China quarantined 56 million people and the whole of Italy is on lock down to counter the spread of coronavirus, the U.K. is taking a radically different approach. Instead of keeping people inside their homes, Boris Johnson’s government is trying to get inside their heads.

www.bloomberg.com

An attempt to intelectualise the practice of doing Sweet FA.

 

[larrygobfiend]

This will sound utterly heartless, but they'll have modelled the likely growth in infections and will have a time in mind when that hits a threshold.

That threshold will take into account the fact that any action taken won't effect those recently infected but not yet displaying symptoms, so there'll be a delay in the effectiveness of the actions. There'll be taking into account the number of people thought to be infected and run some sort of risk analysis working out how likely social distancing will have an effect.

Plainly there's a risk involved there that their modelling might be wrong, but there's also a risk that, if the general population aren't sufficiently concerned, then they'll replace one type of social contact with another, and the net result will be minimable

For example, see the number of people at Cheltenham today and Anfield tonight, and, if it goes ahead in front of a crowd, the number of people at Goodison come Monday. At the moment, despite the fears voiced in this thread, people are a bit wary, but not anywhere near as concerned as they possibly should be.

Once the numbers start to rise, and there are confirmed cases in most cities, towns and villages, then the public will be more open to taking instructions on social distancing.

Thanks mate, that makes a lot of sense. I think the penny has started to drop with a lot of people.

 

[LinekersLegs]

 

[The binman chronicles]

Glad somebody is showing signs of intelligence. They need to screen people coming in though

Shows that we are just hamsters on the wheel. If the government arranged with every other country to lock down everything for 2 to 3 weeks bar from essential services (who would be frequently tested) then this would be over and done with. But no we have 3-6 months at least of fear and disturbance, as long as business turns it is ok to accept the casualties.

 

[Tipp blue]

I'm sure I read that yesterday there were 1,200 cases in Germany, today the number was 1,700, that just shows how quickly the numbers can rise.

Exponential growth dude simple as that, Al Bartlet said it best “One of the greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.”

 

[LinekersLegs]

Italy shutting down everything whilst in the UK Cheltenham goes ahead is a dramatic contrast

 

[LinekersLegs]

 

[Catfish Blues]

Thanks mate, that makes a lot of sense. I think the penny has started to drop with a lot of people.

Newsnight last night ran a really good piece on the virus, with real experts ( as opposed to nobs on forums mouthing off ), explaining quite a few things on things like early intervention possibly not really helping in the medium term, testing, generally buying time and the limitations of modelling

I'd recommend, rather than reading every post in this thread, people take 15 to 25 minutes to watch it, you'll end up being far better informed than you would by reading what's typed here

BBC Two - Newsnight, 10/03/2020

With Italy in Coronavirus lockdown, is this where Britain could be in two weeks’ time?

www.bbc.co.uk

Most of the programme was about COVID-19. The first five minutes are fairly generic comments, but from about 5 mins in to just after 17 mins you're getting the views of real experts before it moves onto the situation in Italy.

 

[Tin-Tin]

Whaaatt

 

[PhilM]

Whaaatt

He was in the squad for the match against Inter over the weekend, which I suspect will then end Seria A for a while.

 

[peteblue]

If it goes bad we might have to close our pub. Fortunately I have my own key.....

 

[jayden28]

Was going to India on the 26th but India have banned all flights til the 15th April,gutted as I needed a break and some nice weather.

 

[tsubaki]

the RS knocked out of the CL and Raab apparently diagnosed with coronavirus

has @davek bought an old lamp this afternoon?

 

[peteblue]

I’ve got a cough.....it’s been nice knowing you guys.....