So we're at 2,800 confirmed cases. This thing is now adding roughly 1,000 a day. So by the end of the week we could be looking at the same amount as infected as SARS. A reminder that SARS took 7 or 8 months to hit the same number. It has since been confirmed that this thing has an incubation period of up to 14 days. So that's potentially someone bowling around infecting others without even realising it for 14 DAYS.
Unpopular opinion, but I actually think the media is underplaying this. On this occasion I can't even accuse them of hysterics. Prince Andrew is bigger news tonight ffs.
In fact, I don't think many people have cottoned on to the severity of what we might be about to encounter. Given how woefully poor the initial response has been shown, what on earth makes you think that the Chinese can contain this? And even if they can, given the incubation period I mentioned above and the fact that 50,000 people have left Wuhan over Chinese New Year, it might not matter.
This virus is giving one in every 5 people who get it a serious condition. So that's one in five people needing life support, basically. Is there one country on the planet that won't get overwhelmed if numbers start to scale?
I hope I'm wrong and you all come back to take the piss out of me in a few weeks but I'm just going off the data. It really doesn't look good.
The average age of those that have died from this variant of the cold is 75, with most having pre-existing health conditions. It's also in a generally deprived/very poor healthcare and hygiene standards area of the world.
The flu has a far higher mortality rate in otherwise healthy people and is far more common. Even in Wuhan I'd hazard a very safe guess that the flu has killed as many or close to it since this whole hysteria started.
The fear isn't really about what's happening now; it's about what could happen if it mutated.
It's not that this shouldn't be taken seriously, it's just that it's a prime example of the news and social media loving a 'sexy' story. The hitherto unknown 'coronavirus' gets more attention than the very well known 'influenza'. There's no way the media are underplaying this - if there was a conspiracy to hush it up, we simply wouldn't know about it or it'd be niche on Weibo etc. like we didn't about Spanish Flu.
