carolinablue232
Player Valuation: £70m
Lol. Imagine a Taylor Swift barb being the decider. I imagine most of the Swifties are already on team Biden though.
Current Affairs 2024 POTUS race
- Thread starter Ruairi77
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They probably are but it's all about turnout and she can drive that!
It's all nuts!
12 states are considering embryo/fetus rights. 3 are pusing for 'personhood legislation'.
Trump is considering a 15 week federal abortion limit.
The democrats need to hammer this home.
Even some pro life voters will be uneasy with the threat posed to the IVF process.
Trump is considering a 15 week federal abortion limit.
The democrats need to hammer this home.
Even some pro life voters will be uneasy with the threat posed to the IVF process.
Yes, ^^^^^ 100% this. Need to get all these ads about this into youtube, twitter, etc., local TV etc.
TN Toffee
Player Valuation: £25m
Someone should try and bait him into insulting her. Surely it wouldn’t be that difficult.
I'm not a US citizen or massively interested in the day-to-day of the race, so I pose a question to the people in here who know their stuff, etc.: I feel like on the outside looking in, Trump has a real chance of winning; it seems like he's got an unwavering amount of support and did well in the primary vote. His fans and pollers support him despite his criminal proceedings and lousy reputation. On the other hand, Biden seems quiet, and I don't see much said about him other than his controversies, like his family getting bribes from Ukraine; I'm not sure if that's true btw. I see a different level of support for Biden than Trump. So, does Trump have a chance to win, or do you think people will mobilise in the next few months and get behind Biden? I'm genuinely interested.
Also, do you think people will vote for Biden simply because they hate Trump? I feel that could be a significant factor too
Also, do you think people will vote for Biden simply because they hate Trump? I feel that could be a significant factor too
Yes, Trump has a chance to win.
It'll come down to 5 or 6 stats. No one elses vote will matter.
Most of Bidens votes will come in the form of a protest vote against Trump.
They could 'Weekend at Bernies' Bidens corpse and I'd still vote for him.
Trump is only doing ok in the primaries. On tuesday in some states he only took 75% of the vote in a one horse race.
As for the Ukraine stuff, the open committee hearing yesterday hilariously put that to bed with everyone except Trump loons who believe JFK is still alive.
Turn out in the swing states is key. If the democrats can clearly articulate the dangers of Trump, Biden should be ok.
Thats a big 'if' tho.
One other thing. The stock markets are at a record high.
Here in the states, most jobs come with pensions. These pensions are all tied to the markets.
Right now, your 401k is worth more than ever.
This is the kind of thing that'll swing independents and some moderate republicans.
Honestly I think it's way too early to say. So much can happen and the electorate has a very short memory. Either man can win and absolutely nobody's guess is better than anyone else's
Martin Alvito
Player Valuation: £50m
Biden's national numbers are trending in the right direction. His battleground state numbers scream 'L'. The latter is the set of numbers that matters.
Polling numbers this far out are notoriously meaningless as a predictor. The answers you'll get from any of us are nothing more than our priors on what's in the black box. We don't know what causes opinion shifts in some elections, but not others. We have theories, but the presidential election dataset sucks. We have one election every four years, rather than 435 every two, and we still can't predict congressional elections the day of with 100% accuracy.
Trump's polling suggests he isn't the dead man walking that, say, Truman in 1952 or LBJ in 1968 were. It follows that he has a chance.
I would tell you he's winning right now. Figure he's up four in a basketball game with six minutes on the clock. That's a lot of time. If he gets up seven with thirty seconds left, we can probably call it. Otherwise, it will probably come down to the last possession - Election Day.
The good thing is Trump and his people are doing nothing to prepare for a general election. They continue to spout things that are crazier and crazier that will turn anyone that isn't all-in on MAGA off.
I am holding out hope that Trumpworld will continue to be too stupid to realize that if they were to moderate their stances some they could con some people in the middle to vote for him come November. We all know Trump will never do anything rational, so there's hope yet he'll continue to alienate a large portion of the electorate, especially in those 5 or 6 states that matter.
It's going to be a turnout game, as national elections usually are. Turnout that's in the ballpark, or better, than where we were in 2020 spells a Biden victory in my opinion.
Most of the polling at the moment is worthless. There is a lot of state polling that is being extrapolated nationally that is just nonsense.
Some of the in-house polling is highly dubious. I've seen some polls that have Trump polling 60%+ with African Americans 18-30 year olds. Thats just not accurate.
Biden’s best weapon is Trump. The GOP are broke and re-running 2020 ad campaigns again as Trump has taken control of the RNC and will hoover up any money they have to pay legal bills.
Biden’s big problem is Israel, he desperately needs a ceasefire.
Some of the in-house polling is highly dubious. I've seen some polls that have Trump polling 60%+ with African Americans 18-30 year olds. Thats just not accurate.
Biden’s best weapon is Trump. The GOP are broke and re-running 2020 ad campaigns again as Trump has taken control of the RNC and will hoover up any money they have to pay legal bills.
Biden’s big problem is Israel, he desperately needs a ceasefire.
What does everybody think the outcome will be tomorrow regarding Big Orange and his legal issues?
I think its unlikely he pays and I dont see them start taking his assets either.
I think there will be some kind of kicking the can down the road.
I think its unlikely he pays and I dont see them start taking his assets either.
I think there will be some kind of kicking the can down the road.
tsubaki
Player Valuation: £90m
The problem he has is that he's denied having the money in court, then publicly said he has the money. Can judges in NYC freeze a person's assets?
I was honestly hoping some clever people would give me the answers.
I mean ive read a few reddit posts regarding it, but other than that, no idea.
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