Some random thoughts...
Jewish Americans have the highest voter turnout amongst any ethnicity, something not lost on KH and the team, and segments of the Jewish American (and non-Jewish) voters are well-organized; see for example, here:
https://demmajorityforisrael.org/who-we-are/issues/
Jewish Americans out-number Arab American voters in every one of the key states except Michigan. Not to mention many Arab Americans are not Muslim (only one quarter are), though I doubt that would matter much with respect to the Palestinian situation.
In Michigan, Harris leads Trump by a little more than 2%, which is about the same percentage of Arab Americans in Michigan. You would need all 220K to withhold their votes for it to be an even race. I find this unlikely.
Dems are in a difficult situation trying to balance this tragedy, while Republicans, at least with respect to their 2024 July Platform, are pretty much pro-Israel and use sentences like
"Republicans condemn antisemitism, and support revoking Visas of Foreign Nationals who support terrorism and jihadism. We will hold accountable those who perpetrate violence against Jewish people" and
"We will stand with Israel, and seek peace in the Middle East."
There is no mention of Palestine in the Republican 2024 platform, but they do use the word "jihadists" a few times. It's pretty clear they will act unilaterally on this issue and not remotely serve the interests of Palestine. In contrast, the DNC platform from 2024 mentions Palestine 8x, which at the very least acknowledges their plight.
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