Current Affairs 2024 POTUS race

[TN Toffee]

Given what a loon she’s turned out to be, it’s easy to forget Palin being so well liked in the wake of the convention. The shine wore off almost immediately once she faced even the slightest bit of scrutiny. But imagine polling 30 points worse than her, yikes. Plus, Vance doesn’t seem like the kind of guy that people are going to warm up to if they just get to know him.

 

[dublinbluenose]

2/3 weeks time when the dust settles and the novelty wears off, I fear we'll see a widening of the polls again as Harris has to go before tv interviewers to justify here less than stellar record in office as VP.

Trump is still enjoying a convention bump and an assassination attempt sympathy. He's only dropping.

 

[Wizard]

The interesting polling on Michigan yesterday was the Emerson poll which showed that out of the swing states the Democratic voters in Michigan were less enamoured with Harris. Only just over three-quarters of Democrats there favoured her being the party presidential nominee.

That's a problem when you think of the huge push behind her over the past 6 days or so.

"only just over three-quarters"? So over 75%? That seems pretty healthy to me

 

[davek]

"only just over three-quarters"? So over 75%? That seems pretty healthy to me

No.

If you're going to topple Trump you'll need to take with you all near all your registered supporters.

 

[Pittsburgh Footy]

No.

If you're going to topple Trump you'll need to take with you all near all your registered supporters.

How are you getting that from what was presented?

Just because 75% wanted Harris doesn't mean the other 25% are staying home or voting Trump. It just means they would have preferred someone else

 

[davek]

How are you getting that from what was presented?

Just because 75% wanted Harris doesn't mean the other 25% are staying home or voting Trump. It just means they would have preferred someone else

It hardly makes for comfortable reading though in a state where she'll have to be foot perfect to get the electoral votes from in November.

 

[RAFUH]

 

[Pittsburgh Footy]

It hardly makes for comfortable reading though in a state where she'll have to be foot perfect to get the electoral votes from in November.

I'll take my chances with the following poll I just saw on MSNBC

88% of registered Democrats - DEMOCRATS - were in support of Biden stepping down

 

[RAFUH]

 

[Ruairi77]

Real finger on the pulse of the electorate

I see what you did there!

 

[Ruairi77]

The interesting polling on Michigan yesterday was the Emerson poll which showed that out of the swing states the Democratic voters in Michigan were less enamoured with Harris. Only just over three-quarters of Democrats there favoured her being the party presidential nominee.

That's a problem when you think of the huge push behind her over the past 6 days or so.

I'd be fairly sure 25% probably strongly favored their female Democratic governor. Doesnt seem that concerning to me

 

[Bluerover]

2/3 weeks time when the dust settles and the novelty wears off, I fear we'll see a widening of the polls again as Harris has to go before tv interviewers to justify here less than stellar record in office as VP.

I have reservations about Harris - not really my cup of tea - but if there is no other choice than trump, then reluctantly I hope she wins.

Comes across too H. Clinton-like for my liking.

 

[Ruairi77]

No.

If you're going to topple Trump you'll need to take with you all near all your registered supporters.

Right, my point is that she will in Michigan.
A large chunk of those who dont favor her likely favor Whitmer instead but they will vote for her.
There's going to be a few hold outs due to the Gaza war but as has been pointed out a billlion times to you, no Democrat is going to appease them.
They're also not going to vote Trump in protest.
It's politics, the optics of protesters painting HAMAS on statues in DC did the Palestinian cause no favors. There are a lot of idiots out there protesting on both sides. It's only week one but she's done a good job of threading the needle so far.
She needs a peace deal before students get back on campus tho.

 

[LinekersLegs]

The interesting polling on Michigan yesterday was the Emerson poll which showed that out of the swing states the Democratic voters in Michigan were less enamoured with Harris. Only just over three-quarters of Democrats there favoured her being the party presidential nominee.

That's a problem when you think of the huge push behind her over the past 6 days or so.

She’s jumped 8 points in less than a week and you are focused on that?

And to be clear it was “77% of Democratic voters in Michigan thought Harris should be the party’s nominee, while 15% wanted someone else and 8% were undecided.” - so less than 15% would have wanted your white knight Newsom.

Pretty much in any poll 20% are contrarians and the 8 point jump suggests it makes no difference to whether they will actually pull the lever for her.

 

[davek]

She’s jumped 8 points in less than a week and you are focused on that?

And to be clear it was “77% of Democratic voters in Michigan thought Harris should be the party’s nominee, while 15% wanted someone else and 8% were undecided.” - so less than 15% would have wanted your white knight Newsom.

Pretty much in any poll 20% are contrarians and the 8 point jump suggests it makes no difference to whether they will actually pull the lever for her.

You know my view on this: once the novelty wears off Harris's selection the focus will be on her unimpressive record.

It's still Trump's to lose.