Current Affairs 2017 General Election

[ashwuk76]

And now Southport and Ormskirk community services are being taken over by virgincare! The Tories really need to be stopped!!

 

[Walken]

Ah right, we all have to be experts to comment on something.

Shut down the Everton forum lads, not enough UEFA A badges in there.

Oh wait, no hang on, it's a forum. We don't all need to be experts to have an opinion.

There's only really me and a couple of other experts who should be commenting on the footy to be fair

 

[RomanReigns]

apparently tories only have a 1 point lead going into thursday's election

the net is closing in

victory for the people!! come on

 

[gorgeousgeorgeEFC]

In all seriousness mate, the Mail goes after the Tories all the time, generally because they don't think they're Conservative enough! Peater Hitchens regularly slaughters them and actually said some fairly complimentary things about Corbyn, he doesn't like his politics but respects his principals.

Yup, some of the opinion columnists in the Mail are often brutally anti-Tory, and rightly so.

 

[Eggs]

...you shouldn't exploit the recent terrorist attacks but Labour's relaxed strategy on immigration and defence won't do them any favours even if the Tory's will be criticised for their record. If Labour had a stricter approach it could have made a real difference.

 

[evilwebby]

Some very good analysis of the wildly differing polling numbers we've been seeing:

https://marriott-stats.com/nigels-b...-5-steps-to-making-sense-of-the-latest-polls/

 

[Clint Planet]

And now Southport and Ormskirk community services are being taken over by virgincare! The Tories really need to be stopped!!

Vile. As if Virgin have any sort of track record seeing projects through.

 

[Tubey]

apparently tories only have a 1 point lead going into thursday's election

the net is closing in

victory for the people!! come on

Key word highlighted.

You can pretty much give the Tories an invisible +10 advantage in any of the polls.

 

[ToffeeTim]

Some very good analysis of the wildly differing polling numbers we've been seeing:

https://marriott-stats.com/nigels-b...-5-steps-to-making-sense-of-the-latest-polls/

There's really nothing to make sense of. They are all so different. They are saying a Tory lead. But it could be anywhere from a Tory led coalition to a 150 majority landslide. They are all over the place. Think we should just wait for the 10.01 Thursday night exit poll from John Curtice.

 

[evilwebby]

There's really nothing to make sense of. They are all so different. They are saying a Tory lead. But it could be anywhere from a Tory led coalition to a 150 majority landslide. They are all over the place. Think we should just wait for the 10.01 Thursday night exit poll from John Curtice.

My own theory is that I believe that the more online the world becomes and the more we are bombarded with virtue signalling, memes and tweets, the more it just tends to drive traditionalists (ie "shy Tories") underground, and the more under-represented they are no matter what polling methodology they employ to have representative sampling.

The young and other groups can have a significant impact on the shape of the opinion polls as they become more politically engaged, but history has shown that what people say and what they do are not the same thing, and there is no reason to think that it will be different this time.

Personally reckon we're looking at a Con majority of 70-90.

 

[edge]

My own theory is that I believe that the more online the world becomes and the more we are bombarded with virtue signalling, memes and tweets, the more it just tends to drive traditionalists (ie "shy Tories") underground, and the more under-represented they are no matter what polling methodology they employ to have representative sampling.

The young and other groups can have a significant impact on the shape of the opinion polls as they become more politically engaged, but history has shown that what people say and what they do are not the same thing, and there is no reason to think that it will be different this time.

Personally reckon we're looking at a Con majority of 70-90.

don't think you will be far wrong.

 

[davek]

http://uk.businessinsider.com/there...ttack-by-top-cameron-aide-steve-hilton-2017-6

May will find it hard on this issue.

You'd imagine in any election campaign if there's a terrorist attack it would be there for the Tories to make hay with. But this Tory leader is so embroiled in operational cuts that she becomes the issue.

No matter how the BBC and the rest of the MSM want to spin this, I get the feeling that most of the electorate know May has been responsible for doing deals with the Saudis who fund this type of terror and has also overseen as Home Secretary massive cuts in police and intelligence gathering resources.

 

[Tubey]

That Karen Bradley interview with Piers Morgan was actually worse than anything Abbott has done. Horrifying.

The Tories have systematically hung themselves for this election for no reason whatsoever.

 

[davek]

Boom!!!!!

 

[Tubey]

My own theory is that I believe that the more online the world becomes and the more we are bombarded with virtue signalling, memes and tweets, the more it just tends to drive traditionalists (ie "shy Tories") underground, and the more under-represented they are no matter what polling methodology they employ to have representative sampling.

The young and other groups can have a significant impact on the shape of the opinion polls as they become more politically engaged, but history has shown that what people say and what they do are not the same thing, and there is no reason to think that it will be different this time.

Personally reckon we're looking at a Con majority of 70-90.

Spot on to an extent but I think this Tory collapse at this point is actually real (sort of).

I think they'll marginally increase their majority to around 30, which should mean the immediate resignation of May.