Current Affairs The Conservative Party

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It's pretty much an economic experiment. They reckon that the 45% rate is acting as a deterrent to further work and entrpreneurship, and that a lower rate will boost productivity to the point where you actually bring in more at the lower rate. At least that's what the argument in the A level textbook said...

But the issue is that some of the biggest earners in the country are footballers and not entrepreneurs and that's where the argument falls down a bit! Good time to be on a 5 year deal at 120 grand a week!
And it also forgets that very few startups actually make any money, and certainly not the "high growth" kind that everyone wants to attract. There's a reason so many are crapping their pants now that cheap VC money isn't quite so readily available.
 
Hard to see what the strategy is here. Looks like a budget to funnel money to business, themselves and their richest mates, at the expense of huge short term borrowing.

If they lose the next election, there’s nothing left to spend, so the incoming government is hamstrung. If they win the next election, public services will have to be cut (they’ll say) to an unimaginable degree to pay for it.

They must be resigned to losing the red wall, and pinning all hope on the Tory-friendly media getting behind them to thank them for the tax breaks.
 
Yes saved..there will be a lot of Champagne corks being popped down south by the rich, famous and Tory donors.
Meanwhile foodbanks will still be doing a roaring trade in the North...
Just hope ordinary people remember to vote in the next election, so we can level it back up !
Dunno mate, we import a lot of our food.
 
Something the Tories seem to have overlooked is that we're in almost full employment. That's not a great situation if growth is what you're looking for as it means getting more out of the people already in work rather than getting people back into work. That's considerably harder to do and typically requires investments rather than tax cuts.

One thing I would say is that if the 6% overnight rise in corporation tax had gone ahead, then some companies would definitely have looked to cut costs, and that could have hit the labour market. I'm not saying it couldn't have been increased a little, but 19% to 25% overnight for many companies is just bad policy.
 
Something I don't really get about the tax cuts to encourage investment thing. Certainly in the startup world the market has been awash with cash in recent years, due to both the really low interest rates and the stimulus payments. So they're not in need of extra cash at all, and not only do few of them turn a profit to pay tax themselves but they also don't employ that many people, and certainly not in the left behind communities.

It's a similar picture with big companies, with estimates that the FTSE 100 is sitting on around £160bn in total, so it's not like they need lower taxes on profits in order to invest. Instead they need something useful to invest in. This is a global thing, with Apple alone sitting on $200bn and a bunch of the big tech firms sitting on over $1tn.


So I really don't think taxation is the problem. If they want to funnel investment though, they could look at things like pension reform. For instance the public sector pension pot is something like £150bn or so, but not only is that fragmented across a bunch of different funds but it generally only gets invested in listed assets. If rules were changed and some of that was allocated to a kind of UK-based Grameen bank for micro-lending to small businesses across the red wall then it could do something meaningful. Heck, even the likes of coding schools and other training schemes that are free but take a % of future income could also be used as an investment in the country's human capital. Quite a few possibilities that wouldn't require the tax system to be touched at all.
 
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