Current Affairs Stocks and shares and stuff

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Bruce Wayne said:
Anyone know much about this?

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How can you buy shares in a painting that is owned by, say, The Vatican or some billionaire? Or a museum?

Sounds and looks like Football Index.
 
DuuuncanHadaPigeon said:
US Treasury Yields very close to inverting. 10-2 is 0.04%
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Recession is pretty much nailed on at this point. Traditionally whenever there has been an inflationary spike at these levels the economy can't absorb it and goes into recession within a year or so.

The current rally in the stock market is lacking broad support and unless that changes it should be viewed as a corrective move and perhaps a change to get out if you are trading it.

I have followed Gary Savage for many years. He has an outstanding view of markets and cycles. He was saying "Nasdaq 10k-20k" for years before it went to those levels. Now he thinks we are on the verge of some important trend changes.



For longer timer buy and hold investors check your asset allocation is something you can live with. Now is not the time to be taking on great amounts of risk.
 
evilwebby said:
Recession is pretty much nailed on at this point. Traditionally whenever there has been an inflationary spike at these levels the economy can't absorb it and goes into recession within a year or so.

The current rally in the stock market is lacking broad support and unless that changes it should be viewed as a corrective move and perhaps a change to get out if you are trading it.

I have followed Gary Savage for many years. He has an outstanding view of markets and cycles. He was saying "Nasdaq 10k-20k" for years before it went to those levels. Now he thinks we are on the verge of some important trend changes.



For longer timer buy and hold investors check your asset allocation is something you can live with. Now is not the time to be taking on great amounts of risk.
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I will check that video out thanks, never heard of the guy.

I think depression is more likely than recession, the only thing keeping us afloat right now is the massive amounts of printing that we have done recently.

10-2 spread has now inverted
 
DuuuncanHadaPigeon said:
I will check that video out thanks, never heard of the guy.

I think depression is more likely than recession, the only thing keeping us afloat right now is the massive amounts of printing that we have done recently.

10-2 spread has now inverted
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Easy to be too uber-bearish. If money printing is the concern then an inflationary recession rather than deflationary depression is more likely.

I think it's more likely that we'll have another lost decade where stocks go sideways - a couple of cyclical bull-bear cycles, while the economy catches up to sensible valuations again over 5-10 years. Stocks have had an amazing last 14 years.. it's inevitable that there will be period of lower than average returns ahead.

Things will get better over the long term, but there are inevitable setbacks along the way.
 
Really nasty selloff on Friday - tech stocks have begun a new downleg.

Nasdaq and Russell are in bear markets, same for many other indexes like the FTSE250

The FAANMGs are falling like dominos
- FB been smashed all year
- AMZN disappoints, gets smashed
- AAPL still strong
- NFLX smashed all year
- MSFT still strong
- GOOG not smashed, but looking weak now

Only 2 out of the 6 are still holding up - they just happen to be the 2 biggest companies in the world, so the broad indexes are holding up quite well, but when and if they start to weaken there'll be nowhere left to hide
 
evilwebby said:
Really nasty selloff on Friday - tech stocks have begun a new downleg.

Nasdaq and Russell are in bear markets, same for many other indexes like the FTSE250

The FAANMGs are falling like dominos
- FB been smashed all year
- AMZN disappoints, gets smashed
- AAPL still strong
- NFLX smashed all year
- MSFT still strong
- GOOG not smashed, but looking weak now

Only 2 out of the 6 are still holding up - they just happen to be the 2 biggest companies in the world, so the broad indexes are holding up quite well, but when and if they start to weaken there'll be nowhere left to hide
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Think I read that it has been the worst April performance in 50 years or something.
 
sentiment reading is one of the lowest on record:

AAII Investor Sentiment Survey | AAII

AAII’s Investor Sentiment Survey shows the percentage of investors who are market bullish, bearish, or neutral on stocks
www.aaii.com
Could get a good rally from here.
Bruce Wayne said:
Think I read that it has been the worst April performance in 50 years or something.
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Wouldn't surprise me.. and what's more Bonds have also tanked, so the traditional 60/40 portfolio hasn't worked.
 
evilwebby said:
sentiment reading is one of the lowest on record:

AAII Investor Sentiment Survey | AAII

AAII’s Investor Sentiment Survey shows the percentage of investors who are market bullish, bearish, or neutral on stocks
www.aaii.com
Could get a good rally from here.


Wouldn't surprise me.. and what's more Bonds have also tanked, so the traditional 60/40 portfolio hasn't worked.
Click to expand...

We put the price of a pint up 10p this week….just saying like…..
 
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