Most of them are playing each other though?
I mean Forest go to Leeds and win and suddenly they're on 29 points so suddenly they can see 6-7 points from the Wolves, Southampton, Brighton home games. Then played out a draw at Palace on the last day to make sure.
Of course Leeds could win that instead and who's to say they won't go to Wolves at the weekend and win that given they did last season. Suddenly they'd be on 29 points themselves.
I think the winner of Southampton-Bournemouth will have the momentum to get what they need in the run in.
Looking at some of the games coming up in next few weeks I think it's pretty unlikely the team will be outside bottom 3 after the Man. United game. I'd be pleasantly surprised anyway. What hopefully won't happen is team on 26 points and bottom of the table otherwise the pressure is just going to be insane going into the Fulham match although seems in last 12 months the club actually responds well to last chances and gets wins that way.
It's my speculation based on the last 6 or 7 weeks form. There could be differences for
Leeds now (in a good way for them) with Rodrigo back for them; on the other hand there could be bad differences for
Forest if Johnson is out for a lengthy period. As for
S'ton: they showed for me how weak they are on Sunday when they had 10 men to get past for an hour and couldn't manage it. If Ward-Prowse doesn't score then they tend to do badly. They are massively over-reliant on him and his free kicks. I'd count them down if they cant get past Brentford tonight.
Bournemouth are a funny one. The reason I favour them to go down (and us to stay up over them) is that they've taken 8 points from the last 30 on offer...and that includes the relative good run of form over the last few weeks. O'Neill isn;lt getting anymore out of them IMO, whereas Dyche has us settled and into a pattern of play that's yielded half the points we've had to play for. Leeds and
Leicester will also have to move heaven and earth to overturn their last 10 game form of 7 points each from 30.
I just dont see more than two of those five teams clicking into form that gets them half the points on offer until the end of the season that keeps them up. That seems improbable to me. We can do that or get very near to that. That's what the evidence suggests so far under Dyche. And if we do then we're safe.