To match last season's tally of home wins going to need to win 7 of the final 11 games at Goodison. Bar an amazing new manager bounce I can't quite see how that's realistic based on lack of goal threat.
So upturn in away form needed but look at the fixtures over next two months....Man. City, Arsenal, RS, West Ham who need the points as much...might get lucky right at end of the season again playing mid table teams like Palace and Leicester but again this really dosen't look a side good enough to win three points on the road.
So you're talking about so much needing to change just to scrape 39-40 points and that's going to be much closer to 18th than last season when it was a four point difference in the end.