Match Thread Everton v Brentford. Preview, Match Report and MotM poll

[Tree13]

Everton look to continue their surge towards safety with a Super Sunday home game against Brentford. Liam Kelly provides a best bet for the match-up.

---

Football betting tips: Premier League​

2pts Under 2.5 Goals at 10/11 (bet365)
0.5pts Jordan Pickford to be shown a card at 14/1 (bet365)
Sky Bet odds | Paddy Power | Betfair Sportsbook

---

Everton's goalless draw with already-relegated Watford could be seen as disappointing, a missed opportunity to gain more points in their fight for survival.
If analysing that stalemate (xG: WAT 0.43 - 0.98 EVE) does tell you anything, however, it's that Frank Lampard has settled on the pragmatic approach for the nervy relegation run-in.

Kick-off time: 16:30 BST, Sunday​

TV Channel: Sky Sports Main Event​

Everton 21/20 | Draw 12/5 | Brentford 13/5​

---

To be fair, it is a scheme that has worked for the Toffees recently.
Everton have collected 11 points from a possible 18 in their last six Premier League matches, putting them within touching distance of safety with three games remaining after looking in deep trouble just weeks ago.
Lampard's side averaged 1.05 expected goals for (xGF) and 1.19 expected goals against per game across those fixtures, which includes meetings with Liverpool, Chelsea and Manchester United.

UNDER 2.5 GOALS has landed in five of the games mentioned, and it's a selection I'm willing to stick with for the match-up with Brentford here at a pick'em price.

• CLICK HERE to back Under 2.5 Goals with Sky Bet

Brentford can play with an element of freedom following an outstanding first season in the Premier League, but mucking it up is what Everton do best at present.
Thomas Frank's men do find it difficult to translate their form as hosts to the road, too, averaging 1.22 xGF per game away from home.
When factoring in the location, Everton's chances in keeping the Bees from buzzing increases further.

---

Lampard's side have kept three clean sheets and conceded just twice in their last five matches at Goodison Park, allowing less than 1.0 xG in four of the five. They've only scored four times in reply, though.
Another bet that looks intriguing if this pans out in the manner I expect is JORDAN PICKFORD TO BE SHOWN A CARD.
His timewasting exploits have made headlines lately, so if Everton hold a slight lead in a close-knit affair, Pickford could easily be punished.
It would be folly to rule out the goalkeeper making a rash decision, too, making the 14/1 on offer of small interest.

---

Everton v Brentford best bets and score prediction​

• 2pts Under 2.5 Goals at 10/11 (bet365)
• 0.5pts Jordan Pickford to be shown a card at 14/1 (bet365)

Score prediction: Everton 1-0 Brentford (Sky Bet odds: 6/1)

Fun fact: if you read this post out loud from start to finish, it sounds exactly like the match commentary on Talksport.

 

[Sporting Billy]

Just hope that if and when we are safe, everyone doesn’t carry on like we’ve achieved or won something.
Work starts straight away on improving the squad

 

[summerisle]

I have the utmost confidence in a 3-0 win, but just in case :

 

[Saint Domingo]

Just hope that if and when we are safe, everyone doesn’t carry on like we’ve achieved or won something.
Work starts straight away on improving the squad

Can’t be eulogising these players for being bothered to win just enough games to keep us up. Most of them have been a disgrace this season and should pay for
It in the summer regardless of what happens.

 

[andy4efc]

Everton look to continue their surge towards safety with a Super Sunday home game against Brentford. Liam Kelly provides a best bet for the match-up.

---

Football betting tips: Premier League​

2pts Under 2.5 Goals at 10/11 (bet365)
0.5pts Jordan Pickford to be shown a card at 14/1 (bet365)
Sky Bet odds | Paddy Power | Betfair Sportsbook

---

Everton's goalless draw with already-relegated Watford could be seen as disappointing, a missed opportunity to gain more points in their fight for survival.
If analysing that stalemate (xG: WAT 0.43 - 0.98 EVE) does tell you anything, however, it's that Frank Lampard has settled on the pragmatic approach for the nervy relegation run-in.

Kick-off time: 16:30 BST, Sunday​

TV Channel: Sky Sports Main Event​

Everton 21/20 | Draw 12/5 | Brentford 13/5​

---

To be fair, it is a scheme that has worked for the Toffees recently.
Everton have collected 11 points from a possible 18 in their last six Premier League matches, putting them within touching distance of safety with three games remaining after looking in deep trouble just weeks ago.
Lampard's side averaged 1.05 expected goals for (xGF) and 1.19 expected goals against per game across those fixtures, which includes meetings with Liverpool, Chelsea and Manchester United.

UNDER 2.5 GOALS has landed in five of the games mentioned, and it's a selection I'm willing to stick with for the match-up with Brentford here at a pick'em price.

• CLICK HERE to back Under 2.5 Goals with Sky Bet

Brentford can play with an element of freedom following an outstanding first season in the Premier League, but mucking it up is what Everton do best at present.
Thomas Frank's men do find it difficult to translate their form as hosts to the road, too, averaging 1.22 xGF per game away from home.
When factoring in the location, Everton's chances in keeping the Bees from buzzing increases further.

---

Lampard's side have kept three clean sheets and conceded just twice in their last five matches at Goodison Park, allowing less than 1.0 xG in four of the five. They've only scored four times in reply, though.
Another bet that looks intriguing if this pans out in the manner I expect is JORDAN PICKFORD TO BE SHOWN A CARD.
His timewasting exploits have made headlines lately, so if Everton hold a slight lead in a close-knit affair, Pickford could easily be punished.
It would be folly to rule out the goalkeeper making a rash decision, too, making the 14/1 on offer of small interest.

---

Everton v Brentford best bets and score prediction​

• 2pts Under 2.5 Goals at 10/11 (bet365)
• 0.5pts Jordan Pickford to be shown a card at 14/1 (bet365)

Score prediction: Everton 1-0 Brentford (Sky Bet odds: 6/1)

Does a gambling advert need to be in this thread really?

 

[Clarky cat]

Let's let the other teams (spurs, Brighton) do the hard work so we don't have to

Catchy that, would make a good tagline for an advert

 

[Clarky cat]

That’s Thomas Frank’s team talk done for him. Suddenly a team with nothing to play for is angry and wants to batter us.

It went against Chelsea, the majority of their players and Tuchel himself were visibly petulant all the way through the game. Havertz and Azpilicueta were both a trembling shambles

 

[andy4efc]

But that’s my point. Chelsea were motivated anyway so the fireworks probably didn’t motivate them any further so there was no downside.

But now a team with nothing to play for maybe at most woke up for ten minutes then rolled over, and now have a reason to stuff us down to the championship, so maybe instead of taking it easy today they lie down to Leeds next weekend instead.

Brentford have had nothing to play for, for weeks and they've continued to play the same and be professional. Today will be no different.

 

[the golden visionary]

Aye.

I'm in a football whatsapp group where some of them are contemplating going to Paris, for their first match...

I've got an apprentice who is on the verge of qualifying and a 20k pay raise. We arranged his final exam for 27th May, next one is end of July, he said I can't go I'm going to Paris. Wtf he hasn't even got a ticket

 

[Telford-Feb-85]

This relegation fight seems to have changed the relationship between players, fans and the club for the better.

 

[get-your-coat-on]

Brentford have had nothing to play for, for weeks and they've continued to play the same and be professional. Today will be no different.

That Ivan Toney will terror Keane today I think, let's get an early goal and ease the pressure

 

[andy4efc]

Wish someone would live stream the coach arrival!

 

[Toffeelover]

With all our injuries etc wonder what the team will be and the bench.

 

[Leylo]

Bouncing outside goodison

 

[andy4efc]

Bouncing outside goodison

video or it didnt happen

*just want to see it