Match Thread Everton v Bournemouth - Preview, Match Report & MotM Poll

Everton Man of the Match

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Everton v Bournemouth​

Tom Carnduff (@TomCarnduff)

If Everton could actually convert the chances they created for themselves in home games, they'd be in a much better position.

The Toffees have generated opportunities worth 7.3 xG across their four contests in front of their own supporters yet have only found the net once. That xG figure placing them sixth in the home table of this metric.

I remain convinced in this Bournemouth project despite a slow start. The fixture list has been incredibly difficult for them and they have picked up points against the non-big six sides.

OVER 2.5 GOALS can be backed at 5/6 which looks decent value considering the two teams.

The Cherries' desired style under Andoni Iraola is highlighted by their 11.7 PPDA figure. The lower the number, the more aggressive a team is out of possession. Bournemouth having the seventh-lowest in the league despite a really tough start can be viewed as a positive.

The 13 shot-ending turnovers is the fourth-highest, and Everton being the home side means that there will be some pressure on them to be on the front foot. That should suit the visitors.

Bournemouth are a nice price if you fancy an outsider on Saturday, but given what we've seen from Everton, goals is where the best value can be found.

Score prediction: Everton 1-2 Bournemouth (Sky Bet odds: 11/1)
 


Gonna wait for the team news to determine if I get a river to watch it, if Garner’s on the right, Gueye starts and Young is in either full back position then I’m not bothering because it will mean Dyche has learnt nothing from last week
 

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