from Sportinglife.... personally, I think Keane is the more likely to shoot and score on Saturday.
Everton vs Chelsea
If
Everton win here, they would go within two points of
Chelsea. That sounds wrong doesn't it.
But, it shows how good of a season the Toffees are having under
David Moyes and how badly Chelsea are doing. Everton were brilliant at Arsenal last weekend and lost to a 90th minute goal from the goal-line and an open net on the counter.
Chelsea meanwhile have won just three of their last 11 in all competitions, with those victories coming against Championship side Hull, soon-to-be Championship side Wolves and a bang out-of-sorts Aston Villa. They can't be trusted here.
Instead I want to take them on with an Everton set-piece threat. Since Liam Rosenior has taken charge, in his 13 matches against English opponents his Chelsea team have conceded eight set-piece goals, 6.9 xG from dead-balls and faced 58 shots from such situations. That's a per game average of 0.62 goals, 0.53 xG and 4.46 shots faced.
A whopping 24 of those shots (1.85 per game) have come from opposing centre-backs, so the 7/5 for
JARRAD BRANTHWAITE 1+ TOTAL SHOT here looks massive. The towering defender missed last week's game but should be fit to come back in from the off here.
He's started only five times this season due to injuries, but has registered a shot in four of those and grabbing a goal away at Newcastle. His shots per 90 this season stands at 0.91, and while
Michael Keane has played more minutes, it's worth noting Keane's per 90 stands at 0.92 yet he's 4/5 for a single shot here.
Score prediction: Everton 1-1 Chelsea (
Sky Bet odds: 11/2)
