Current Affairs EU In or Out

[Frang]

@Bruce Wayne 100000% takes his dog skiing

 

[Toast]

The Bercow show.


Again.

A joke.

 

[Mutzo Nutzo]

Apparently there was a scientific analysis done on the density of the crowd aided by mobile telephone locations at various points. But hey don’t let that affect your hatred of anything Tory, even though most of the dog skiing mob were in fact Tories....

Pete I was on the march and the cell towers were overloaded for most of the march so any data gathered by wi-fi heat maps could only be counted as Inaccurate at best.

 

[SpongeBob brown shoes]

Tories kicking off there haha

 

[Barnfred 55]

It's a 2 party state. Three quarters of the population will vote tory or labour regardless in any circumstances.

I'm pretty certain the tories will win the next election with a majority but certainly not a 97 type landslide.

I think there are a few unknowns at the moment.

There is the issue with the Independent group. Which way is Labour going to bat on Brexit going into the election. If it backs remain, it risks losing a lot of traditional labour voters who voted to leave the EU. If it backs Brexit, it risks losing a lot more MPs to the Independent group, and with it probably, a lot of the tradional labour vote who want to remain. If it backs a very soft Brexit (staying in the customs union and single market) it risks losing votes from both sides.

There is then the issue of what direction the Tories take after May resigns. If they pick a remain supporter as PM then I can see a huge number
of Tories, i.e the ERG jumping ship, possibly to form their own party centred on Brexit.

I really couldn't call one way or another. The only thing I'm fairly certain on now is that a general election will take place, probably in the Spring of 2020. But beyond that I haven't got a 'kin clue.

Just watching Bercow perform for his gallery now. What a nob.

 

[summerisle]

29, one more for the record.

 

[summerisle]

I think there are a few unknowns at the moment.

There is the issue with the Independent group. Which way is Labour going to bat on Brexit going into the election. If it backs remain, it risks losing a lot of traditional labour voters who voted to leave the EU. If it backs Brexit, it risks losing a lot more MPs to the Independent group, and with it probably, a lot of the tradional labour vote who want to remain. If it backs a very soft Brexit (staying in the customs union and single market) it risks losing votes from both sides.

There is then the issue of what direction the Tories take after May resigns. If they pick a remain supporter as PM then I can see a huge number
of Tories, i.e the ERG jumping ship, possibly to form their own party centred on Brexit.

I really couldn't call one way or another. The only thing I'm fairly certain on now is that a general election will take place, probably in the Spring of 2020. But beyond that I haven't got a 'kin clue.

Just watching Bercow perform for his gallery now. What a nob.

What about the unknown unknowns ?

 

[Barnfred 55]

Think the same.
6/5 Are the odds for an election this year.
Labour could easily brass themselves off and win too..

Would it even be this year though. The Euro election will have to take precedence. Then you only have a couple of months before the summer recession and it's October before Parliament opens again. Next Spring at the earliest for me.

 

[peteblue]

So how many seats do you all think Labour will win the next GE by?

-200......

 

[Barnfred 55]

What about the unknown unknowns ?

I don't know.

 

[peteblue]

They can say whatever they want, nobody will buy it. And feel free to vault this prediction of a shedload of UKIP votes, but probably no seats given how the system works. Therefore I'm sticking my neck out on a Labour majority.

I don’t think so. UKIP is done, agreed. Farage however could easily whip up a new party and would get massive support, at Labours cost.....

 

[peteblue]

Pete I was on the march and the cell towers were overloaded for most of the march so any data gathered by wi-fi heat maps could only be counted as Inaccurate at best.

But you also know that these people always overestimate the attendance, so even if it was 50% more it’s still only 600k....

 

[peteblue]

What about the unknown unknowns ?

It’s the known unknowns that’s worrying me....

 

[summerisle]

It’s the known unknowns that’s worrying me....

That's unknown.

 

[Frang]

Just get it done you bunch of morons