It's a very thoughtful post.
My initial take though, is that where is Wilder now? Managing a team to the worst start in PL history having spent quite a bit of cash. So perhaps that's why Ancelotti takes a different tact.
On the lucky tact, why would very competent football people keep giving him a job if he added no value? Weve seen plenty of managers go to teams, and struggle. Look at Koeman at Barca now as an example. To consistently win trophies in top countries in not as easy as it looks. I'm not sure luck alone can explain it.
I do agree with 60 points being a target. I think that would be a good return. So far we are roughly on course for that as well.
Wilder was just an example because it was a good quote. But no matter what happens to Sheffield United, he has performed better with the team than anyone could expect. The quote covers the attitude of most coaches I would assume. Guerdiola has said the same, and many other coaches.
Well, often there are not very competent people who hire coaches, and a lot goes through agents and contacts. The same goes for players. I'm not saying he's a bad coach, and you have to have certain characteristics to coach the world's best team. You have to have the players' respect, something that Ancelotti has. But you do not have to be a great tactician or innovator.
Again, Ancelotti is a good coach, but he has always performed as expected. Some data models indicate that he is the coach who has underperformed most of all coaches in big clubs in the last 20 years - in terms of resources. I do not know the reliability of these models, but it is also something that is talked about in the football world. He also won the league only once with AC Milan, which in itself is an achievement when you look at that team.
Koeman came in at an unfavorable time, and is sitting on borrowed time anyway. Xavi will take over the team after the presidential election.