Relegation

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Now everyone expects us to take a pasting off the RS, but just let this sink in…what if we don‘t…what if we steal a point or three…what would that feel like…..
Being a realist I can't see us getting anything on paper. But football isn't played on paper. A draw would be a miracle mind, but they do happen.
 
if we call it a 2 horse race for 17th-18th which, presently it pretty much is - Norwich are 1/80 and Watford 1/16 to be relegated. the relegation odds for the two sides has been/is:

pre Wed 9/4 Burnley 2/1 (45-55)
Thurs Even money both (50-50)
post Sat 2/1 Burnley 1/2 (33-66)
post Sun 3/1 Burnley 1/3 (75-25)
That's not close to 3 per cent which was my point
 

I think Everton need 2 wins and a draw to be safe. That now looks doable.

If that happens, Watford and Burnley both need to win 4 games give or take a point or two. Burnley have only won 4 all season and Watford are below them.

If Everton can’t scrape the required points together then they deserve to go down.
 
Love us to beat Leicester and then snide a point at the pit. Remember that Allardyce derby when Rooney scored a pen with our only shot in the whole game and we pinched a 1-1. Beautiful.
Remember when he said

Sam Allardyce: “If my 2 league games against Liverpool this season had been a Champions League tie, we’d have gone through. That’s something my critics won’t tell you.”
 
On the plus side for us: 4 home games - 3 with a shout at winning, more so because Palace may be on FA Cup Final mode, Brentford safe (one presumes otherwise we've picked up some points) and we've had prep time for Leicester. Chelsea isn't a total write off but will be tough. On our travels.. there's little positive except Leicester we have a shot at a point, Watford are as bad as us, the Derby will need a miracle but we will at least be up for it and Arsenal is at least a critical game (for us) if it comes down to it..

Burnley - their 8 games - Wolves, Saints, Villa and last game home to Newcastle all offer some real chances of points. Away: West Ham post Lyon they have a shout, Spurs looks tough, Villa (again) and Watford are real good opportunities

I would say that Everton might get 4-10 pts at home and 1 to 5 away - so an average of 10 (7 plus 3).
Burnley at best could get 4 to 10 at home and 3 to 7 away - so an average of 12..

Right now we're about 2 points better off than Burnley as an average assessment which is too close to call.. 75-25 to us right now but it could be brutal.
While out situation is disgracefully precarious - and will remain so for quite some time - we now need to factor in the reality that this Burnley side lost to the worst team in this league today when we predict where they are getting future points from.

Frankly, if you are losing to Norwich when you have just beaten the side you are trying to reel in, you're really not a reliable source of points.

This weekend has swung massively back in our favour. If we can now beat Leicester, we are well set for a serious shot at survival. Burnley find every game a struggle, so there's no evidence to suggest they are going to go on some kind of a run. In reality, if Everton cannot earn the necessary 6-10 points between now and the end of the season it'll be largely irrelevant what Burnley do. We'll deserve to drop.
 
Think he be more concerned with his job then us, they got battered 5-0 the other day and been on a bad run, if he let Burnley win twice then Villa are 6 points of relegation
Still wouldn't go down though is my point. They're not going to lose all their remaining games so he can let those two fixtures go. He'd be the type too imo he hates us. But let's hope we can get enough points from our remaining fixtures where it won't matter what he does anyway. 2 wins and a few draws would probably do it
 

Remember when he said

Sam Allardyce: “If my 2 league games against Liverpool this season had been a Champions League tie, we’d have gone through. That’s something my critics won’t tell you.”
and if my auntie had b0ll0ck$ she'd be the leader of the Liberal Democra- wait, no hang on, that's not the saying, is it...
 

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