It could reach anything - thats just speculation.I feel the same,just reading that the people dying because of the Coronavirus could reach 260,000 ffs.
The figure is just a straight maximum(?) assumed mortality percentage (4% ?) of the last population figure of 65M
Even at 1% that's 65,000 extra death, funerals, graves and cremations.
An extra 260,000 is bulldozers and trenches in the park territory - scary