Current Affairs 2024 POTUS race

Status
Not open for further replies.
Genuine question. I'm not a gambler but I see the bookies have Trump at 4/6 favourite and Harris at 6/4. Why is this when everyone on the tele says they are voting Harris. Are the bookies scared of a silent vote win for Trump like in 2016? Ta.
 
Genuine question. I'm not a gambler but I see the bookies have Trump at 4/6 favourite and Harris at 6/4. Why is this when everyone on the tele says they are voting Harris. Are the bookies scared of a silent vote win for Trump like in 2016? Ta.



Because betting markets for a 50/50 tossup like a US election are dictated by betting patterns, not any empirical evidence or information. If loads of people bet Trump, as many have, then his odds shorten
 
Just received a text from a guy I went to college with who has worked on GOP campaigns for decades. He's working state races this election period.

He said the word is Trump's team is in panic mode and shifting every bit of focus to just three swing states: Michigan, Arizona, and... North Carolina.

why leave it so late?
 
Genuine question. I'm not a gambler but I see the bookies have Trump at 4/6 favourite and Harris at 6/4. Why is this when everyone on the tele says they are voting Harris. Are the bookies scared of a silent vote win for Trump like in 2016? Ta.
Because, perhaps, the media companies want Harris to win? Had sky on for the last few hours and it’s clear who they feel should win. Go on X and the feeling is the other way. Best to just wait and see.
 
Genuine question. I'm not a gambler but I see the bookies have Trump at 4/6 favourite and Harris at 6/4. Why is this when everyone on the tele says they are voting Harris. Are the bookies scared of a silent vote win for Trump like in 2016? Ta.
Bookies odds factor incoming bets, if enough people are lumping on Trump and he loses, then it makes up for their losses if Harris wins. Their prices reflect how they can guarantee their profit the best. So they're an OK metric but not as good as polls in this case.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Welcome

Join the Everton conversation today.
Fewer ads, full access, completely free.

🛒 Visit Shop

Support Grand Old Team by checking out our latest Everton gear!
Back
Top