Relegation 2022/23

[4737carlin]

Saints have a terrible run, stil have to go away to Arsenal and Newcastle and the trip to Brighton right at the end will be super hard as they would love to send them down. Along with hard home games against City and possibly Spurs and Liverpool, i really dont see them getting mnay points, they are 100% gone

What else is interesting is the amount of six point games Palace have, that is a lot of points being taken off each other.

Southhamton, Palace and Leeds for me

 

[4737carlin]

The most promising thing for us is that without our main striker, we still have competed and been unlucky v Villa and Forest.

I think had we had Dominic Calvert-Lewin in we would have picked up more points but we moving in the right direction.

You say this but we might of changed how we play just to base it around him and not been as good, dont get me wrong we play him soon as we can but even if we dont im not as worried

 

[Tony’s Carp]

View attachment 206399

Found this on twitter

Going to be a wolves fan for the next little while I think- if they can smash Leeds, Forest, Leicester and Palace it massively helps us and ideally with one or two other results puts them on the beach by the time we visit.

Leicester are still outsiders to drop but they have a nasty run of games and could well go on a horrible run like they did at the start at the season. They ship a lot of goals.

 

[knowing your history]

The clubs in big trouble on current form and with their remaining fixtures are:

Forest
Leicester
Leeds
S'ton

No West Ham? One away win all season and look at the home fixtures they have left, going to be huge pressure on them to beat both Leeds and Southampton and I reckon they won't win one of those especially if it's straight after a european fixture.

 

[knowing your history]

Saints have a terrible run, stil have to go away to Arsenal and Newcastle and the trip to Brighton right at the end will be super hard as they would love to send them down. Along with hard home games against City and possibly Spurs and Liverpool, i really dont see them getting mnay points, they are 100% gone

What else is interesting is the amount of six point games Palace have, that is a lot of points being taken off each other.

Southhamton, Palace and Leeds for me

It's a similar run in to here. They also have Fulham, Brentford, Palace and Bournemouth at home so win three of those and they have a good chance of staying up. Can see them going to one of Forest/West Ham and winning aswell. RS at home on final day will be a big problem aswell if they have no chance of 4th.

 

[AsiaAsia82]

I’m not as confident. Our goal difference is poor.
But then form is irrelevant, see Bournemouth and Southampton this weekend.
We just need to focus on our own results

 

[davek]

No West Ham? One away win all season and look at the home fixtures they have left, going to be huge pressure on them to beat both Leeds and Southampton and I reckon they won't win one of those especially if it's straight after a european fixture.

Yes, maybe. I just think they - like Wolves and Palace - will have a spell of results that get them clear.

Leicester would have been one of those but their fixtures look very tough.

 

[Miked1e]

We have picked up almost 50% of available points since Dyche has come in, with 71% of those matches against teams not in the relegation fight!

With only 63% of our remaining fixtures against teams not in the relegation scrap, surely we can still aim to amass minimum 50% of available points leaving us on a tally of 41points or better.

Regardless of what other teams around us do…. It’s simple maths…..

 

[DrEFC]

We have the toughest run, don't we? I get palpitations just thinking about it..
Admittedly our two best performances were against teams we expected to lose to at home. Expect more bull@##*! VAR decisions against Newcastle though...

 

[davek]

We have picked up almost 50% of available points since Dyche has come in, with 71% of those matches against teams not in the relegation fight!

With only 63% of our remaining fixtures against teams not in the relegation scrap, surely we can still aim to amass minimum 50% of available points leaving us on a tally of 41points or better.

Regardless of what other teams around us do…. It’s simple maths…..

Yes, the evidence is there to suggest we can maintain this points per game ratio.

That would get us well out of it. Add in a surprising win - which we are well capable of - and that will get us well over 40 points.

 

[davek]

We have the toughest run, don't we? I get palpitations just thinking about it..
Admittedly our two best performances were against teams we expected to lose to at home. Expect more bull@##*! VAR decisions against Newcastle though...

 

[LocalNative]

We have the toughest run, don't we? I get palpitations just thinking about it..
Admittedly our two best performances were against teams we expected to lose to at home. Expect more bull@##*! VAR decisions against Newcastle though...

We need back-to-back unlikely wins like we had last year v Chelsea and Leicester. If we could do that it would take so much of the pressure off.

 

[andy4efc]

Incredibly how many teams have now been dragged into this. It felt like it was 3 from 5/6 a few weeks ago.

Now it's 3 from 9.

The next 3/4 games will determine who is truly involved.

 

[DrEFC]

Actually, I think that Brentford game might be the most difficult fixture we face for the remainder of the season - including the home game with City because we'll be committed to defending for most of that one I suspect.

Brentford have been flying and they and we knew we not only had to keep them at arms length but take the game to them to get a win. They came out second half looking to show how good they are at this point in time. A form team with no real weakness and we saw them off and could have been out of sight by HT in all honesty.

I'm on board with the positive citrus cat. All his posts here have been 100% spot on.

 

[Harryflashman]

Incredibly how many teams have now been dragged into this. It felt like it was 3 from 5/6 a few weeks ago.

Now it's 3 from 9.

The next 3/4 games will determine who is truly involved.

It is mad when you’ve normally got one adrift at the bottom by now and often another one all but gone . In all honestly looking at all the evidence I suspect without the Dyche appointment that would have been us .

So many teams involved, I’m reassured that a couple like Leeds and palace seem bang out of form as we know ourselves how hard them runs are to get out of and that another couple in Leicester and West Ham seem convinced they’re not in a relegation battle so might end up sleepwalking into ever more trouble .