West Ham v Everton
James Cantrill (@JimmythePunt)
At the half way stage, both these clubs find themselves the wrong side of the dotted line, on 15 points, with survival hopes looking bleak.
The Hammers campaign has been a story of wasteful finishing, with
David Moyes side scoring 15 times from an xG of 26.87.
There is no doubt they have been on the receiving end of some negative variance but belief looks to be deserting this squad.
Infogol's model has them in 9th, which is why they should consider them unfortunate to be in the position that they are in.
In stark contrast, the Everton are suffering the consequences of their poor process.
The Toffees lowly position is justified by the underlying data. While they have been unfortunate not to find the net more times, they could have conceded nine more goals then the 26 they have according to the xGA.
With this in mind, I think backing
WEST HAM to
WIN is the play here.
Score prediction: West Ham 2-0 Everton (
Sky Bet odds: 14/1)