For this Everton in this era? It'd get us 39 points per season plus whatever draws we got on top.
Let me ask you: what should this Everton team points wise be getting?
Dave,
You might be being economical with the truth here. The Premier League moved from 42 games to 38 in the 95/96 season.
0.31 x 38 games = 11.78 wins = 35.34 points
0.31 x 42 games = 13.02 wins = 39.06 points
Of course if we actually use the correct success rate in Premier League games we would have:
0.28 x 38 games = 10.64 wins = 31.92 points
To be fair, if we got 10 wins we would stay up but that means that we would need 7 more in the second half of the season. That's hard to see.