Looking at Burnley, if a half decent team can tip up and be beating them (Until we capitulated as per usual) then other teams will go there and get something.
Burnleys last 9 -:
Norwich (A)
West Ham (A)
Southampton (H)
Wolves (H)
Watford (A)
Aston Villa (H)
Spurs (A)
Aston Villa (A)
Newcastle (H)
If they get 9 from them 9 we just need 6 points, if they get 12 we need 9. Being as they have only managed 4 wins all season you cant make a case for them getting anymore than 1 or 2 wins from them. IMO I can seriously only see them beating Norwich and Watford, obviously it depends how other teams turn up but they are also capable of losing them as they are away from home.
If they only pick up 2 wins for the rest of the season we will only need 1 more!