knowing your history
Player Valuation: £20m
We have won 8 and drawn 4 of our games this season.
That is 28 points before our points were stolen.
About 1.27 points per game.
16 games left.
If we maintain that average it will give us 20 more points ti add to our current 18.
38 points….that will be safety IMO.
Though as @Eggs implies, no more stolen points is absolute key to this.
That run had plenty of away wins though. Looking at what's left....both Manchester clubs, Chelsea, Arsenal, Newcastle...usually get little at most of those grounds nowadays so that would leave Brighton where there's a pretty good recent record, Bournemouth which isn't a good record at all and Luton which is the obvious six pointer do or die.
To get up to 38 points probably going to need to win 5 of the last 8 at Goodison which won't be easy at all given the chronic lack of goals again.