It's a bit like the Silva season. Pretty good start and then totally collapsed after losing the derby in the December.
Was never any danger of relegation battle and finished last two months strongly.
When you look at what's left at Goodison home games v Palace, Brentford, Forest, Burnley and Sheffield all remain very winnable. Throw in a shock win (as every Everton team has one in the run in) and in "normal" circumstances I'd still fancy a finish of 45-46 points which would be a huge improvement on last two years.
The points deduction has complicated everything. Suddenly need to win pretty much all those listed above now to get to mid 30s and certainly not lose to Luton away.