Bookies not fancying us for this one - Barcodes have a daunting home record!
Newcastle v Everton
- Kick-off time: 19:30 BST, Wednesday
- TV Channel: Amazon Prime Video
- Newcastle 3/5 | Draw 3/1 | Everton 9/2
Read Jake Osgathorpe's (@JAKEOZZ) full preview here
Newcastle's xG process in front of their own fans reads an impressive 2.47 xGF and 1.43 xGA per game, with that xGF figure ranking them as the fourth most potent home attacking team.
That in itself is why I'm wanting to get Howe's team on side, as is the fact that they have lost just twice in 19 at St. James' Park since his appointment - those defeats coming against Manchester City and Liverpool.
Across that bigger sample size of home matches, Newcastle have averaged 1.75 xGF and 1.33 xGA per game, which means that if they play to this level every home game against lesser teams, they will likely win.
Add to this the fact that Everton remain incredibly vulnerable away from home, shipping an average of 2.24 xGA per game, and backing NEWCASTLE TO WIN AND OVER 1.5 GOALS appeals at even money.
- CLICK HERE to back Newcastle with Sky Bet
Score prediction: Newcastle 3-1 Everton (Sky Bet odds: 11/1)