The mood changed after the transfer window if you ask me, I know thats when my kneejerking really started! The Villa and United games have added to it, whilst also showing that we needed to invest in the squad to build on the good work this season. Moyes stubborn ways have also been highlighted as the squad becomes jaded, people saw a chance to really move the club forward, as it stands its looking like that opportunity has been missed, thats why a lot of fans are finding it hard to be happy with semi-finals and 6th place.
We have to be realistic though don't we? When you spend the vast sums that United, Chelsea and City spend, you have every right to be at the top of the table. We don't, yet we're now competitive against these sides and are still in the fight for European places. With our budget, that's about as good as we can hope for, and largely we're doing that. We can beat the top teams, and are up there in the league.
Sure it's frustrating that we can't beat some teams that we really should be, but even the megarich sides have bad days.
It's a similar thing with the cups. History shows that the 'big four' win the vast majority of cups, and do so because they spend the most money. When other teams win it's often (not always, but often) a result of luck falling their way and giving them a good route to the final, and an easier team to play in the final.
Take the year we got to the cup final for instance. Beating Liverpool and United on the way was outstanding. Our luck ran out by drawing Chelsea in the final. I'm sure had we had a lesser team we'd have won a trophy.
Likewise with things like fatigue. Our squad is no smaller than in previous years where our 2nd half has been much stronger than the 1st. Sure people will point to Jelavic arriving last January, but our trend of finishing strongly has been quite consistent over the last 4-5 years, so it's hard to believe that with the same size squad we're suddenly losing due to fatigue.
Luck does play a major part. All those drawn games early in the season for instance, how many times did we hit the woodwork back then? I don't have stats to hand but seem to remember it being into double figures. It wouldn't have taken many of those going in and 1 point becomes 3. Small margins.