Say for arguments sake we sold Baines for 20 mil, replaced him with oviedo and spent the 20 mil on an outrageous striker who was gonna score us 20+ goals, are we really worse off as a team on the whole?
I stand by "almost certainly" because the 20 goal striker ... as much as people love to go on about it ... is very rare.
Let's say Kone (or a rebounding Jela or even Anichebe) gets us 13. So we are paying 20 million (or 15 million or so if you sub out Kone cost) for 7 extra goals (and let's throw in some extra chances and assists too).
So how likely is it we can get a 20 goal player for 20 million? Three players scored more than 20 last year: RVP, Suarez and Bale.
Benteke and Michu were close and they are every idiots "well why don't we just buy one of them eh?" go to player of the silly season. Meanwhile there is a giant mass grave of players who cost the same or more than Benteke and Michu and did sweet f all this season which everyone ignores because we're just *sure* to get the next Michu with our money.
As much as people like to have a go at Baines defensively these days I would take a lot of convincing to believe Oviedo just steps in as does equally well. We'd concede a couple of extra goals. So sub two from the 7 extra goals we just paid 20m for.
Baines led the top-flight teams in chances created. Put an average player on the team to replace him and we could lose a couple of goals from those lost chances.
In the end we are paying 20m for a couple of extra goals ... and that's the best case scenario. Good chance we just Andy Carroll it and the money is gone.
I'm not saying it's impossible but why would you take the risk?