He's a cert for Euro 2016 no matter what happens in my view - I'd agree with you that things can be uncertain, but there's no doubt in my mind that this kid is top drawer. Barring a serious injury, there's no way he'd be worth less than £30m at the very least next summer.
We'd be stupid to sell now for anywhere near that fee - it'd demoralise the fans at the start of a new season, be poor business and basically wave a white flag to any ambition as a club we have. It'd also indicate we had to sell, which is outright alarming.
Two things, and these are both centered around the hypothetical of the club actively planning to sell Stones next summer.
1 - If you as an individual were going to invest a large sum of money, would you invest it in a 21-year old footballer, or would you choose to invest in a much safer commodity? Stones may represent a smaller risk than almost any 21-year old athlete in the world, but compared to anything else, it's still a massive gamble.
2 - The best time for English clubs to buy players is right now,
before the new TV deal kicks in next year. It doesn't matter if Stones is worth £50 million next season, because every other club on the continent will be demanding higher fees for their players. The trend has already started, and it will only get worse. If Everton want to spend a significant amount of money in the transfer market, this is the window in which to do so.
The only way the reward ends up outweighing the risk in my eyes is if Stones goes from being
one of the best to
the best CB in the Premier League and commands a fee of over £60 million. That's a foolish gamble to take. If they're going to sell, from an economic standpoint they should sell now.