A lot of debate on this on the relegation thread .. FORGET potential deductions in your selection.
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Furey1878
Player Valuation: £70m
Think people are being way too naive in think all 3 relegated teams will struggle to hit 20 points. Things can change very quickly in football and sub 20 has only happened a handful of times to one club, never mind multiple in the same season.
Potential points deduction aside, we'll be well clear.
Potential points deduction aside, we'll be well clear.
Yeah the promoted teams won’t be this bad all season. I think there’s a chance one of them finishes 20 or lower but never all three. I think we’ll need 30+… but I think we’ll get it quite easily as long as we don’t have any terrible injury luck
brieverton
Player Valuation: £50m
I'd always frame it as how many needed points to finish 17th. Right now, we are in less danger than last season but we can't discount at least one of the bottom three sides putting a run together and coming closer to being a threat. Without a deduction and with increasing confidence and momentum, then there isn't much to separate teams outside the top eight. Injuries may have a bearing for us and probably will, we are paper thin and cannot cope at all with injuries to key players.
I expect at least one sacking from those clubs if not two, Luton aside. You can't discount a new manager bounce happening in that scenario. Football can do that. And like it or not, the outcome of the hearing, particularly if it's at or near a worst case scenario, would have big bearing. We need to do what we're dealing with asap.
I expect at least one sacking from those clubs if not two, Luton aside. You can't discount a new manager bounce happening in that scenario. Football can do that. And like it or not, the outcome of the hearing, particularly if it's at or near a worst case scenario, would have big bearing. We need to do what we're dealing with asap.
…..I suspect at least one of the bottom 3 will see an upturn in form, but 36 points might be safe.
A 12 point deduction would more likely deny us a champions league spot, than relegation. Sniff it haters.
Would expect at least one of the teams to change manager at some point.
Can’t see all of them keeping up their current low ppg through the season.
Reckon we’ll be sound, but wouldn’t be surprised if 18th placed team finishes with mid 30’s pts.
Can’t see all of them keeping up their current low ppg through the season.
Reckon we’ll be sound, but wouldn’t be surprised if 18th placed team finishes with mid 30’s pts.
14 judging by the bottom 3.
…Luton played well last week.
The binman chronicles
Player Valuation: £80m
A lot of optimistic people on how many they'll get. The teams at the bottom will have a purple patch at somepoint which will up their tallies but at the same time if they don't have those soon if they continue with what they have been then by half way to get to 36 points they'll need to pick up 1.5 points a game and that looks like a massive stretch.
Still stand by something in the late 20's will be enough.
Still stand by something in the late 20's will be enough.
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For any of the bottom 3 to reach the mid 30s it would take them winning 8 or 9 games from their remaining games . I'd see that as highly unlikely. For me 2 of them will be under 30 and one will be 30 or not much more
Low 30s for me. Slightly less than last year. But one of the bottom 3 is bound to improve or at least beat the others around them.
I'll say 32
I'll say 32
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