Isn't that exactly what XG is supposed to be? A measure of the quality of chances a team is creating or conceding. It's just a data measurement to use in context with other available data. Really not sure why it inspires such loathing and devotion in equal measure.
And even with 25 shots a game the XG could still be way below 1 per game so it wouldn't necessarily be huge. Just as only having two shots could be somewhere near 2 if they're excellent chances.
The reason XG annoys me personally is that people use it instead of watching games because they want to seem all knowing.
I was surprisingly impressed with the commentator Townsend last night because he had clearly watched us play and knew what Onana was all about for example.
So often I get into conversations with people who think they know what we are because of statistics and it’s just not the same as watching the game.
This season, versus last, the biggest improvement I’ve seen is that apart from versus Brentford, I’m not scared when we defend, especially from set pieces which were all terrifying last season. You don’t get that secure/nervous feeling from stats, only from actually watching the game. The other big difference is that without Richie we have no X factor up top and create nothing and other teams are happy to sit off because they know we won’t break them down.
That’s a conversation I like to have, not ‘oh have you seen we have a better defending xG and worse attacking xG compared to last season?’. I do data analytics in my job not for my hobby!