F1 2021

[Connor]

Come on Max!

 

[PhilM]

Advantage Max.

 

[Tubey]

First blood to Max. But will be very interesting considering he starting on softs.

Didn't watch, just saw the result - is Hamilton on mediums then?

 

[Kantareller]

Didn't watch, just saw the result - is Hamilton on mediums then?

Yep. His first time in Q2 was on mediums, and he then went for a second go with mediums but locked up in the first corner and ruined them. Then set his fastest time on softs. Worth mentioning is that his time on mediums in Q2 was good enough for Q3 so it was a decision from Red Bull to start him on softs

 

[AdamEFC]

Why didn’t Merc make Bottas give Lewis a tow like the red bulls did?

 

[Tubey]

Yep. His first time in Q2 was on mediums, and he then went for a second go with mediums but locked up in the first corner and ruined them. Then set his fastest time on softs. Worth mentioning is that his time on mediums in Q2 was good enough for Q3 so it was a decision from Red Bull to start him on softs

Interesting, and apparently got a tow too - so he's went all out for track position at the expense of tyre choice.

So he'll have to pit earlier than Hamilton tomorrow and have weaker tyres towards the end of the race if everything goes as 'normal'.

Bit risky but I guess if they feel they lack raw pace then their only chance is track position I guess.

 

[AdamEFC]

Interesting, and apparently got a tow too - so he's went all out for track position at the expense of tyre choice.

So he'll have to pit earlier than Hamilton tomorrow and have weaker tyres towards the end of the race if everything goes as 'normal'.

Bit risky but I guess if they feel they lack raw pace then their only chance is track position I guess.

He had to use the softs. He set a time in mediums and got a flat spot on them. He had no new sets of mediums so had to put softs on or start the race with a flat spot on his tyre.

 

[longers]

Toto basically admitting overtaking is going to be impossible unless there is a big tyre offset

 

[Kantareller]

He had to use the softs. He set a time in mediums and got a flat spot on them. He had no new sets of mediums so had to put softs on or start the race with a flat spot on his tyre.

That makes sense, I didn't know it was the set of mediums he did set the previous time on. It makes for an interesting race nonetheless

 

[BNJ1878]

So, so long as Hamilton holds on to 2nd off the start and then hold station behind Verstappen he should be in pretty good shape.

I wonder if Perez sees himself as a bit of a T1 Martyr?

 

[longers]

Brawn and Symonds set to quit F1 roles in 2022

Formula 1 managing director of motorsports Ross Brawn is set to step down at the end of next year, with chief technical officer Pat Symonds also planning to leave his role in the summer.

www.motorsport.com

 

[evilwebby]

IMO, and engaging probabilities:

If Lewis gets into the first corner ahead then the race is 80/20 in his favour.

If Max gets into the first corner ahead then the race is 55/45 in his favour.


Likelihood of Max getting into first corner first is probably 80/20.

Therefore I reckon Hamilton's chances tomorrow are probaby about (0.2*0.8) + (0.2*0.45) = 0.576, or 57.6%
Hamilton still a very very slight favourite, but it's almost a coin toss.

 

[The binman chronicles]

IMO, and engaging probabilities:

If Lewis gets into the first corner ahead then the race is 80/20 in his favour.

If Max gets into the first corner ahead then the race is 55/45 in his favour.


Likelihood of Max getting into first corner first is probably 80/20.

Therefore I reckon Hamilton's chances tomorrow are probaby about (0.2*0.8) + (0.2*0.45) = 0.576, or 57.6%
Hamilton still a very very slight favourite, but it's almost a coin toss.

Imho even if Hamilton gets to the first corner ahead there is a good chance Max on softer tyres passes him within a couple of laps. The question is how quick is the Red Bull on the hard tyre and does it make them last in the same way it does on the Mercedes.

 

[evilwebby]

Imho even if Hamilton gets to the first corner ahead there is a good chance Max on softer tyres passes him within a couple of laps. The question is how quick is the Red Bull on the hard tyre and does it make them last in the same way it does on the Mercedes.

It seems to me that, like in Saudi, Red Bull have tilted Verstappen's car setup toward single lap pace. Their gameplan is based around into getting into the first corner ahead and staying there. They know that Hamilton cannot afford a crash in trying to pass Max. The Mercedes has straight line advantage, so overtaking Hamilton will not be easy should he get ahead, and the lack of DRS in the first couple of laps could be enough to take the edge off the soft tyres.

 

[longers]

It seems to me that, like in Saudi, Red Bull have tilted Verstappen's car setup toward single lap pace. Their gameplan is based around into getting into the first corner ahead and staying there. They know that Hamilton cannot afford a crash in trying to pass Max. The Mercedes has straight line advantage, so overtaking Hamilton will not be easy should he get ahead, and the lack of DRS in the first couple of laps could be enough to take the edge off the soft tyres.

Red Bull setup the car for the race according to pundits, their race pace was very good in free practice. They were also 8kph faster on the straights than Merc although not sure how much of that was because of the tow, without the tow i think his sector times were identical/faster so maybe the tow wasn't a factor.