I was thinking about this earlier.I reckon the last game vs Arsenal could be the fight for 6th place and the difference between going straight in or undergoing qualifications.
Arsenal have United next, they'll lose most likely. Then Soton away, then Stoke away and Sunderland before us.
That's 4 games in 2 weeks. I expect them to drop points and get 6-7 pts max. If that happens, they'll be on 66-67 pts, 8-9 above us.
We have very winnable games(Swans/Watford) before we play Arsenal. 9 possible points, which would put us 1 above Arsenal. We have to up our GD in case they get 7 pts.
It's a stretch but it's a possibility. Arsenal are in shambles. I've watched their last 4 games and ANY decently organised Prem team will tear them apart.
Arsenal have five games left to play, the fifth and final one being against us on the 21st of May. The remaining four ALL take place between 7th and 16th of May - four games in ten days. We could well be in a great position to snatch 6th place from them on the final day, provided we do the business against Swansea and Watford.