This is a bit of an old fashioned way of looking at the electorate but thanks nonetheless for your input. US Presidential elections are primarily won or lost by bringing out your base voter and winning them by big enough margins. Very few true independents or swing voters out there. Some may be shy with pollsters in who they are inclined to vote for but deep down they'll be leaning one way or the other.The 20% of the electorate who didn't want to vote for either Biden or Trump will decide the election.
1/5 of LIKELY VOTERS didn't want to vote for eitherThis is a bit of an old fashioned way of looking at the electorate but thanks nonetheless for your input. US Presidential elections are primarily won or lost by bringing out your base voter and winning them by big enough margins. Very few true independents or swing voters out there. Some may be shy with pollsters in who they are inclined to vote for but deep down they'll be leaning one way or the other.
But if the base stretches to the perpheries then the variance leaves an unknown. I get the whole MAGA thing is a thing, but hamburgers on Thursday doesn't mean roast beef on Sunday.This is a bit of an old fashioned way of looking at the electorate but thanks nonetheless for your input. US Presidential elections are primarily won or lost by bringing out your base voter and winning them by big enough margins. Very few true independents or swing voters out there. Some may be shy with pollsters in who they are inclined to vote for but deep down they'll be leaning one way or the other.
Hamburgers you say?But if the base stretches to the perpheries then the variance leaves an unknown. I get the whole MAGA thing is a thing, but hamburgers on Thursday doesn't mean roast beef on Sunday.
Hamberders.Hamburgers you say?
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'don't want to vote for either' and 'will not vote for either' are two entirely different things. Of that 1/5th you cite the vast majority will still end up voting. The clue is in the name pollsters give them 'likely voters'.1/5 of LIKELY VOTERS didn't want to vote for either
Hamburgers you say?
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Whip em into a frenzy so when it all goes wrong they can smash the country to pieces. Sounds familiar.What a calm campaign
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