Match Thread Brentford 2-2 Everton Saturday 11th April 3.00pm

Your Everton MOTM vs Brentford


  • Total voters
    291
  • Poll closed .
Brentfords remaining fixtures are:

Everton (h)
Fulham (h)
Man Utd (a)
West Ham (h)
Man City (a)
Crystal Palace (h)
Liverpool (a)

I believe our run in is much more favourable than this so even if we draw, we hopefully still finish above them. But its the push for places if we win that we really want to see. Really pressurise Chelsea and Liverpool for that 5th spot that now guarantees CL footy next season.
Four common opponents: Palace City WH Liverpool

The differences: we have Sunderland home and Spurs away

Brentford have Fulham home and Utd away

Advantage for us there but all bets are off if we go to Spurs on Championship Sunday with them needing a result to stay up. Most extreme scenario, if 3 points for us gets us CL but a loss puts them in the drop, that will be insane. You’d expect them to fight like hell but unless de Z can shock that dressing room into life we could be looking at a dispirited team and a sour, bitter crowd ready to turn on them.
 
Four common opponents: Palace City WH Liverpool

The differences: we have Sunderland home and Spurs away

Brentford have Fulham home and Utd away

Advantage for us there but all bets are off if we go to Spurs on Championship Sunday with them needing a result to stay up. Most extreme scenario, if 3 points for us gets us CL but a loss puts them in the drop, that will be insane. You’d expect them to fight like hell but unless de Z can shock that dressing room into life we could be looking at a dispirited team and a sour, bitter crowd ready to turn on them.
We have a bit of form on our side too.
 
Let's get this won, no excuses. COYB!

032 BREEVE.webp

 
I think we have the quality to do these comfortably but it will be a low scoring game too. Unfortunately we have all watched this episode of "Everton nearly there" several times before.
Few people seem to be noting that should we lose and Brighton win then we could be out of the top 10.
 
Some interesting data analysis here based on numbers not emotion.......

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brentford win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Everton has a probability of 28.86% and a draw has a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Everton win is 0-1 (8.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.33%).

Result​

Brentford45.36%
Draw25.81%
Everton28.86% ▼ (-0.04)


Both Teams to Score:​

53.44%

Goals​

Over 1.574.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.525.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.549.61%
Under 2.550.39%
Over 3.526.9%
Under 3.573.1%
Over 4.514.58% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 4.585.42% ▲ (+0.02)


First Half Winner​

Brentford32.94%
Draw43.21%
Everton23.85%


Team To Score First​

Brentford52.47%
No Goal7.08%
Everton40.45%


Corners​

Over 858.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 811.8%
Under 829.9% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 946.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 912.09%
Under 941.69% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 10.534.91%
Under 10.565.09%


Brentford Goals​

Over 1.543.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.556.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.518.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.581.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.56.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.593.74% ▼ (-0.02)


Everton Goals​

Over 0.564.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.535.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.529.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.570.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.59.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.590.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.52.78%
Under 3.597.22%


Score analysis​

Brentford[COLOR=rgba(33, 37, 41, 0.75)]45.36%
Draw[COLOR=rgba(33, 37, 41, 0.75)]25.82%[/COLOR]
Everton[COLOR=rgba(33, 37, 41, 0.75)]28.87%[/COLOR]
45.3%28.9%25.8%

ResultProbability
Brentford (45.36%)45.36
Draw (25.82%)25.82
Everton (28.87%)28.87

Brentford
1-0 @ 10.67%


2-1 @ 9.64%


2-0 @ 7.77%


3-1 @ 4.45%


3-0 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.01)


3-2 @ 2.69%


Other @ 6.2%


Total : 45.36%

Draw
1-1 @ 12.33%


0-0 @ 7.08%


2-2 @ 5.38%


Other @ 0.06% ▲ (+0.01)


Total : 25.82%

Everton
0-1 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.01)


1-2 @ 7.34%


0-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.01)


1-3 @ 2.49%


2-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.02)


0-3 @ 1.8%


Other @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)


Total : 28.87%[/COLOR]
 
I think we are the better side, especially in this second part of the season, but is still going to be a tough one. Get at them from the off though and I think we can take all 3 points. Massive games from here on out if want to have a shot at European competition.
 

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