even the bookies don't rate our chances of a point...
orrect Score: Brentford 2-1 Everton (Sky Bet odds: 7/1)
Brentford came back from two goals down against Fulham before conceding late to lose 3-2, a deserved loss based on the quality of chances created in the game (
xG: FUL 2.83 - 1.66 BRE).
The Bees return home this weekend, and Thomas Frank's side have been excellent in front of their own fans since promotion to the top flight.
Last season they ranked as the seventh best home side in the division,
averaging 1.64 xGF and 1.07 xGA per game, and hammered Manchester United 4-0 in their only home game of the season so far.
They welcome a winless Everton side to London, with Frank Lampard's side struggling, especially defensively.
The Toffees have allowed
1.79 xGA per game across their opening trio of matches, and have a miserable away record under Lampard.
Everton collected just four points from a possible 27 on the road after the appointment of the ex-Chelsea coach.
From an underlying number perspective, in that time only relegated Watford and Norwich accumulated fewer xP per away game than Everton (0.76), while only Southampton and Norwich allowed more
xGA per away game than the Toffees (2.35).
Home win.