Relegation

[Zatara]

Brighton should have slotted 2 in the past few mins

 

[Paul Rideout]

We have the luxury of deciding our own destiny

Get to 40 and we’re safe

41 and we best the LFC youth development squad

 

[andy4efc]

Brighton should have slotted 2 in the past few mins

Shockingmiss by March

Was really good football as well.

 

[andy4efc]

that Cucurella is rapid

 

[Eggs]

Not sure how you work that out Andy.

If we draw our points are 37 G/D -19 played 36

Leeds lose they are 35 points G/d -38 played 37

Burnley on 34 points G/D -18 played 36

Can you clarify? you are banking on Leeds going down, yes.

…if Leeds lose they stay on 34 points. We draw, we’re 3 points ahead with Leeds only having one game left and needing a bundle of goals.

 

[Toffeelover]

We start the day two points ahead of them, not one.

You are looking at a live leafgue table I imagine in which it's including their point v brighton.

I don't care how we do it as long as we stay up and can start next season afresh. Keep Lampard as well.

 

[TimHowardsBeardJuice]

This does not cover every scenario.

At 2 points ahead of Leeds. Everton are safe if they better Leeds result today, ie win if Leeds draws, or win or draw if Leeds loses. They would then be least 3 points ahead of Leeds with Leeds having only one game left and losing the tiebreaker on GD.

Burnley and Leeds are level on points but Leeds have only 2 games left going into today and Burnley have three, and Burnley gets the tiebreaker. The scenarios where Leeds get ahead of both Burnley and Everton involve: Leeds winning out, Burnley getting 5/9 or less, AND Everton getting 3/9 or less. If Leeds get only 4/6, they only stay up if Burnley get 3/6 or less AND Everton get zero or one out of nine. If Leeds get 3/6, Everton have to lose out and Burnley have to get 2/6 or less.
,
Essentially if Leeds lose today they are dead if the other two both win, and a realistic shot only if Burnley lose or draw AND Everton lose. If Leeds draw and Everton get anything Leeds are dead.

Even if Leeds win out they are dead if Burnley also win out OR Everton get 4/9 or more.

In any scenario where Leeds stay up, Everton have a two point lead on Burnley with both having three left and Burnley with +2 GD.

Will update after each result today.

Statistics-analysis site FiveThirtyEight has the odds of going down at 6% Everton, 31% Burnley and 64% Leeds.

At the moment, Everton have a two-point lead on Burnley with Everton now having three games left to Burnley's two - same situation as Leeds before start of Leeds' game but the GD matters.

If Burnley win out, 6/6: Everton finish ahead of Burnley no matter what with 5/9; 4/9 goes to GD where Burnley are currently +1; 3/9 or fewer for Everton and Burnley finish ahead of Everton.

If Burnley 4/6: Everton finish ahead of Burnley with 3/9; 2/9 goes to GD where Burnley would finish ahead (if Everton had only two draws their GD would not improve), 1 or 0/9 and Burnley finish ahead on points.

If Burnley 3/6: 2 or more from Everton out of 9 and Everton finish ahead of Burnley. 1/9 for Everton and it goes to GD where Burnley would be ahead. Everton have to lose out for Burnley to finish ahead on points.

If Burnley 2/6: Everton have to lose out.

 

[lungo]

Shockingmiss by March

Was really good football as well.

Brighton is a good side . They can play football. Nothing to do with the crap Everton serves up!

 

[KaiserEFC]

We have the luxury of deciding our own destiny

Get to 40 and we’re safe

Actually, we’re doomed

 

[Zatara]

that Cucurella is rapid

We were linked with him many moons ago when he was coming through at Barca as a left back

 

[ChesterBlue]

Close there Brighton

 

[Dublin blue 75]

Get in welbeck.

 

[Zatara]

Brightons finishing is worse than ours

 

[Kylito]

Get in

 

[Zeitgeist]

GET IN