The thing is, where are we EXPECTED to finish?
Theres no depth in key areas and no quality keeper.
Theres been key injuries.
Refs doing us over.
Bad luck in not finishing teams off e.g WBA/Norwich.
If you remove the wages on players left by Moyes who we couldnt shift until this summer we would probably be mid table....
On paper the first eleven should be top 6. They still have years to gsin experience and develop (stones/barkley/deulofeu/lukaku and even mccarthy)
If we were 5th now (which we could be if we had beaten WBA and one other team so no stretch) then would Martinez be getting such stick = NO.
However people paying money to watch home games prefer Moyes record at home i think as opposed to the better football on show...so its clouding their opinions.
in my opinion anything top 6 and we are OVERachieving this season.
Next season with a top GK, new CM and competition for Lukaku is the time to judge him. He has needed to spend what he has where he can and this summer has the opportunity with money and players out of contract to do so.
It is a very interesting point really. This is definitely the crux of the argument and where lots of fans differ. If you look at it in a numerical terms, we spend about half way up, have a wage bill about half way up, so finishing half way up is about par. It would be unfair to sack a manager for being par really. By that basis our aspiration should be to finish top 10 and that is a good season.
On the other hand people will also say football is not just about numbers. Our managers get the advantage of being given time, close to full control of the off field matters, not the same pressure as other managers have and the ability to plan for the long term. Alongside that we have a fruitful youth academy that yields players that don't cost much money and generally are paid less in wages. Just some of the reasons why some of the stats above are too simplistic. Just as for Moyes in his early years his "net spend" figures are simplified by getting 30 million for an academy product, so too are ours by having players such as Barkley free of cost.
Most importantly of all we have a squad that is stronger than most sides around us in wage bill. I don't think it is just rose tinted glasses to say we have a better squad than the likes of West Ham, Stoke etc. When you consider what sides like Chelsea were willing to pay for Stones/Coleman/McCarthy. The international recognition for players such as Jags/Baines while how players such as Lukaku/Deulofeu/Barkley have performed it is hard to say we should just be 10th.
I try to look at other sides squads impartially. City/Arsenal are stronger than us. I think we are close to Spurs/United/Chelsea/Liverpool. For these supporters they understandably say that top 6 should be our aim.
This was much of the debate that dominated the arguments around Moyes. How far should he be given credit for assembling such a talented squad, and how far should he be criticised for not taking it further?
I am on the fence to the above debate, both positions are reasonable and have their strengths and weaknesses. I think that people probably just want to see Martinez showing an ability to adapt. A lot of the frustration is how we lose not always because we lose.
Saturday against West Brom didn't worry me too much. We battered a side who got a goal from a set piece and defended bravely. That defeat doesn't worry me too much, but the defeats to Stoke, Leicester and Swansea were all alarming for different reasons. I know we lost a goal to a set play, but we have been defending them much better recently. We haven't got much credit in the bank after that. A big worry if we don't seem able to use home advantage. It's a years worth of poor form now. It can't all be down to bad luck and referees.
As you rightly point out the league is tight which compounds an already impassioned debate. There may be 10 points separating 6th to 13th come the end of the season. At one end of the scale Martinez would be getting hailed as having done a brilliant job, at the other we would look like we have gone backwards. With such a small difference between the two I think it probably discredits both positions a bit.
I am in the Martinez in camp. I am naturally cautious when getting rid of managers and we do have lots of young players. However as I've always said it's not enough to just stand behind the "we're in transition and with a young side" argument indefinitely. The young players who now have more experience need to start showing more consistency. You need to have a system of checks and balances. If we are inexperienced in one area it needs to be made up for in another. For me that's the question Martinez needs to show he can answer.
Spurs are a very good comparison for us. Poch has shown he can develop a winning formula. Martinez has shown he can develop an exciting team, but in the end we need to be winners too.