This doesn't work so simple. The three promoted sides have spent and seem to have spent well, so the usual two whipping boy sides aren't so readily available this season. When the league contains more quality there is a more even spread of points, so with more competition there will be more surprise results, especially as there are 9 sides battling through european competition. Sides will get injuries and suspensions, and mystery bouts of flu through the squad and all that caper. Transposing management improvement in some way onto total league points is quite some mental gymnastics. Fair play though.