Relegation 2022/23

[jonnyboy316]

Truth is villa I think is a really tough game, realistically a point is a good result, be chuffed with a win but it's gonna be tough.

Villa at home is one of our most favourable fixtures left. Their form has also started to take a dive. They scored a couple of very good goals against Arsenal but they were poor for long periods

 

[SussexToffee1980]

I think it will be a 1-0 for us against Villa.

 

[Swagger]

Drive yourself mental trying to predict results like this, I think there will be some unexpected results along the way. Truth is we play better when all we have to do is defend and nick a goal, in games where we are needing to control the ball is where we struggle which makes it hard to predict.

True. Not many would have picked us drawing away to City and beating Arsenal at home.

Only game I have written off is Arsenal away. It is in between two huge winnable games.

 

[catcherintherye]

Those are both bold predictions… I like that. I see a draw to Spurs at home. Obviously would love the 3 points…

I dont think Spurs are playing better than Arsenal currently mate.

 

[JohnRoss23]

This is what I came up with after a quick glance at the schedule. This would put us at 41 points.

GREEN= W
BLUE= D
RED= L

 

[blue to the bone]

This is what I came up with after a quick glance at the schedule. This would put us at 41 points.

GREEN= W
BLUE= D
RED= L
View attachment 205036

We already beat Leeds!
That puts us on 38

 

[APN_EFC]

Supposing we need 18 points from 15 games, to be really sure. I'm looking for 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses, here goes:

(According to my optimistic-pessimistic hope-killing predictions, one route to safety requires 3 Away wins, and draws against teams like Newcastle, Fulham and Brentford who are playing well often. This is tough! This prediction also means we'd need 8 points from the last 5 games - also hard!
Anyway we look at this, it's going to be a really difficult ask, and will need the bottom teams to get less than 35 points in the end, and a lower threshold to avoid relegation.)
What do you think?

Vills (H) - 3 pts
Arsenal (A) - 0
Forest (A) - 3
Brentford (H) - 1
Chelsea (A) - 0
Spurs (H) - 0
Man U (A) - 0
Fulham (H) - 1
Palace (A) - 1
Newcastle (H) - 1
Leicester (A) - 3
Brighton (A) - 1
Man City (H) - 0
Wolves (A) - 3
Bournemouth (H) - 1

 

[APN_EFC]

This is what I came up with after a quick glance at the schedule. This would put us at 41 points.

GREEN= W
BLUE= D
RED= L
View attachment 205036

I find it tough to imagine a draw when Man City will be pushing for th title, and even Man U are getting better and better, but we do need some very difficult results to get to 38 or 39 points.

 

[Bluelenny1984]

Villa at home is one of our most favourable fixtures left. Their form has also started to take a dive. They scored a couple of very good goals against Arsenal but they were poor for long periods

I agree, but they counter quickly and in a game where we are at home and expected to take the game to the opposition somewhat we could play right in to there hands. I hope I'm wrong!

 

[Chrismac]

Supposing we need 18 points from 15 games, to be really sure. I'm looking for 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses, here goes:

(According to my optimistic-pessimistic hope-killing predictions, one route to safety requires 3 Away wins, and draws against teams like Newcastle, Fulham and Brentford who are playing well often. This is tough! This prediction also means we'd need 8 points from the last 5 games - also hard!
Anyway we look at this, it's going to be a really difficult ask, and will need the bottom teams to get

Leicester (A) - 3
Brighton (A) - 1
Man City (H) - 0
Wolves (A) - 3
Bournemouth (H) - 1

Jesus that's a wile run of 7 results you have us down for

 

[Tim's tourettes]

This is what I came up with after a quick glance at the schedule. This would put us at 41 points.

GREEN= W
BLUE= D
RED= L
View attachment 205036

Will your mum stick this on the fridge for you?

 

[jonnyboy316]

I agree, but they counter quickly and in a game where we are at home and expected to take the game to the opposition somewhat we could play right in to their hands. I hope I'm wrong!

I think unless we are chasing or caught out from a set piece we will be pretty deep. The biggest risk is if Coutinho or Buendia have their shooting boots on

 

[jonnyboy316]

Supposing we need 18 points from 15 games, to be really sure. I'm looking for 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses, here goes:

(According to my optimistic-pessimistic hope-killing predictions, one route to safety requires 3 Away wins, and draws against teams like Newcastle, Fulham and Brentford who are playing well often. This is tough! This prediction also means we'd need 8 points from the last 5 games - also hard!
Anyway we look at this, it's going to be a really difficult ask, and will need the bottom teams to get less than 35 points in the end, and a lower threshold to avoid relegation.)
What do you think?

Vills (H) - 3 pts
Arsenal (A) - 0
Forest (A) - 3
Brentford (H) - 1
Chelsea (A) - 0
Spurs (H) - 0
Man U (A) - 0
Fulham (H) - 1
Palace (A) - 1
Newcastle (H) - 1
Leicester (A) - 3
Brighton (A) - 1
Man City (H) - 0
Wolves (A) - 3
Bournemouth (H) - 1

Villa - 1
Arsenal - 0
Forest -1
Chelsea - 1
Spurs - 3
Man U - 0
Fulham - 1
Palace - 3
Newcastle - 3
Leicester - 0
Brighton - 0
Wolves - 1
Bournemouth -3

Gives us 38. Based on DCL being fit for 10 games and no injury crisis

 

[Ferguson1878]

Similar to what I have, I can only get us to 34 but as form improves then perhaps my perception of what will be might also improve....

View attachment 205027

Grim reading that

 

[DanB90]

Mystic Megs out in force tonight