i dont think it will be as bad as last year, but I don't thnk it will be great. Although if we beat Utd then things might be different
Yeah this.
Don't think we'll be 14th in November or go 6 games without a win or anything like that.
However, we won't be 3rd in November either.
I reckon we will be sitting somewhere between 7th and 11th for most of August to January. Then come Jan we do a bit better in the run in and finish 5th to 7th.
There are 3 things which determine how well you do in football games :
1 : players ability.
2 : tactics.
3 : luck.
Of course number 3 you can do nothing about.
Whereas 1 and 2 you can, you need a good mix of both ideally but you can get away with being poor at one of you're strong at the other.
I think at Everton early in Moyes reign we were stronger tactics wise than we were ability wise, Moyes making us hard to beat, installing a brilliant team spirit took us to 4th place.
Then as the ability of our squad improved (due to Moyes quality in the transfer market) that started to outdo his tactics, what had worked so well for us previously wasn't as effective and he didn't change appropriately but the quality of the squad made up for that and in combination we finished 5th twice and reached Europe.
Then we started to start seasons poorly and no one knew why, all kinds of theories were thrown around but regardless of what the club tried to do differently nothing changed.
But i put those poor starts down to Moyes tactics. We start the season and his cautious, negative side comes to the fore as he has us playing hoofball with 7/8 defenders on the pitch before we finally rack up 40 points come the new year and start to play with less pressure and shackles on us.
With a fully fit settled squad we'd start a lot better than we do despite those tactics, but in recent seasons we've gone into seasons with transfer and contract sagas hanging over us, we've gone into seasons with a pretty poor strikeforce. And sometimes we've just been damn unlucky.
But this season (hopefully) we've got a quality striker, we've got 2 important players in and not lost any important players. As long as that stays the same, which knowing Everton is unlikely we will start better than we have been.
We will start better than usual because of the ability of the squad, but we won't start as good as we finish because of the tactics of the manager.