milks
I hate football
Of course, there's not much point in putting recommendations out if I've not got the courage of my own convictions!
Backed Bolton last night as well, so very happy right now
Milks' Sports Betting Tips
- Thread starter milks
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Of course, there's not much point in putting recommendations out if I've not got the courage of my own convictions!
Backed Bolton last night as well, so very happy right now
Alio
They call me Avocado Baby
Haha, same here. I noticed a couple of your twitter tips, may have a lil look tonight
I've calmed down my bets a bit at the moment. I went from never having placed a bet on football for 30 years basically, to suddenly spending about £5 a week (it's not much, or is it? I don't really know) but if you lose it all on the weekend, you suddenly get the urge to start betting midweek, ha. I appear to win more by betting on teams I've never heard of on the live betting. Love doing that *realises that's a sure fire way to lose loads of cash, but somehow I win more on that, than taking guesses on teams I think I know about. Crazy
I'm defo still up on what I've put in, but I know I'm single-handedly running GOT at the moment with my paddypower loses.
No worries D/D! x
I've calmed down my bets a bit at the moment. I went from never having placed a bet on football for 30 years basically, to suddenly spending about £5 a week (it's not much, or is it? I don't really know) but if you lose it all on the weekend, you suddenly get the urge to start betting midweek, ha. I appear to win more by betting on teams I've never heard of on the live betting. Love doing that *realises that's a sure fire way to lose loads of cash, but somehow I win more on that, than taking guesses on teams I think I know about. Crazy
I'm defo still up on what I've put in, but I know I'm single-handedly running GOT at the moment with my paddypower loses.
No worries D/D! x
milks
I hate football
2012/13 Football Betting Preview
It all kicks off tomorrow, as fashionably late as ever I've had a look.
Premier League
Outright is a waste of time, no value in the three side capable of winning the title. No other side has the resource to challenge.
Relegation slightly more interesting though. Villa have a potentially poorer squad than last season but a much better manager and a fit striker. It doesn't look like he's been given access to the Bank of Randy though so he's going to have to work miracles to get a significant improvement on last season's 16th place. 7/1 best price which is fair, but a bad start (will be telling given the opposition) and no new signings by the end of the month could see a big shift down. Swansea are in for a tough season; new manager, loss of their midfield pivot and no Sigurdsson who singlehandedly won them points towards the end of last year. With bigger clubs coveting their talent (Sinclair has just stated he wants out) and Bugeyes Rogers hovering 2/1 is not really worth a bet, but is a very likely possibility.
Handicaps offer a bit of 15/1 value. I fancy Reading to perform better than the other promoted sides, but still can't have them to emulate the performance of Swansea last season. Taking last year as a frame the best price 48pt handicap would have them emulating Wigan's 15th place finish to be in with a chance which I'm not 100% sure about. The Pog will score given the service and this could be provided by Danny Guthrie. Very talented, excellent with a dead ball he's been waiting for a move like this to become the No.1 in a midfield, he could have the same sort of impact as Joey Barton did serving Andy Carroll for Newcastle two years ago. The flip side is that he could emulate Barton in other aspects too. The big red mark over Reading is Ian Harte. He was bobbins 10 years ago and time hasn't been kind. Moving on from the Royals; the 36pts you can take on Fulham does appeal. With a year under his belt big Martin Jol will be much more confident than last time out, he's spent a year allowing some of his talented youngsters and new imports to get used to the pace of the EPL. They may well lose Clint Dempsey before the end of August, but if this means more game time for the talented Ruiz or Karim Frei then it could serve him well, especially if any funds can be reinvested in another decent midfielder to accompany Mama Diarra behind Dembele. Mladen Petric was an astute capture to replace punters favourite the Pog and he just needs early goals to get confidence. More on him later. They underachieved last season in my opinion and I'm banking on them adding 9-12 points on last season's tally themselves which makes the handicap worth a potential 100pts in my eyes.
Goalden Boot betting should be centred around first choice forwards in decent sides at 20+/1 prices. Obviously EPL experience bodes well as the game is quicker and more physical here, but goals are goals at the end of the day. I like players coming into England from the Bundesliga which is the closest thing to the way the game is played here, this leads me straight to Lukas Podolski. He bagged 18 league goals for an atrocious Koln side as they got relegated last season and given the supply chain at the Emirates (Santi Cazorla is an exceptional purchase) and the fact he's guaranteed to play every week 33/1 is a BIG price for me. Mladen Petric as cited above also represents great value at 80/1 currently. I'd be tempting fate to include Nikica Jelavic on this list at 33/1, but if he picks up where he left off last season he'll do very well in a much stronger Everton side than started the 2011 season.
Other bets revolve around Everton actually having a good season. 9/2 to finish in the top 6 isn't really great value, but Paddy Power are offering 9/1 without the 'big 4' which I prefer. I see no reason why we can't build on last season - there's no guarantee of success from Liverpool, Tottenham and Newcastle in my eyes and if anything a season's rebuild required from the former two. Everton have stabilised, strengthened and at this point haven't sold a key member of the side (though there are still two weeks left for Baines or Felliani to be subject to a last minute £10m bid/sale from someone)
Championship
Bolton outright at 7/1. They had a horrendous run of injuries last season and with a fit (and better?) squad for this year should be at the forefront of the second tier. Stuart Holden, Mark Davies and Lee Chung-Yong are unquestionable Premier League talents in midfield. Grant Holt and Rickie Lambert have proved that big nasty grocks can score goals in that league which should bode well for Kevin Davies in a supplementary role to Marvin Sordell who I envisage will take the opportunity to play regularly and prove his talent. They've got a blend of experience and ability through the side and Coyle has to achieve something this year or else he'll be cast off into a discarded managers pile with the likes of Paul Jewell.
Birmingham e/w at 20/1 and on the handicaps at 13pts (18/1) appeal. They were fantastic at times last season and had they not had the distraction of the UEFA Cup which led to a stinker of a start I think they would have walked the league. Lee Clark has improved the playing squad and their young talent is a year older with more experience. There is of course the small matter that they're sat on a live volcano in the form of their dodgy owners which is likely to erupt at any point, but they played their football without consideration to this last season so there's no reason why they can't do so again.
Marvin Sordell at 25/1 for the Top Scorer is the sort of price I was hoping for, it's probably his level at this stage and he bagged 5 in 9 for Watford before Bolton picked him up early last season. The other one at the same 25/1 is someone who's done it before in Sylvan Ebanks-Blake. If Fletcher goes as expected it leaves him as striker #1 at Molyneux, provided the Wolves don't capitulate he should find the net regularly; again, he's a very good 2nd tier striker.
It all kicks off tomorrow, as fashionably late as ever I've had a look.
Premier League
Outright is a waste of time, no value in the three side capable of winning the title. No other side has the resource to challenge.
Relegation slightly more interesting though. Villa have a potentially poorer squad than last season but a much better manager and a fit striker. It doesn't look like he's been given access to the Bank of Randy though so he's going to have to work miracles to get a significant improvement on last season's 16th place. 7/1 best price which is fair, but a bad start (will be telling given the opposition) and no new signings by the end of the month could see a big shift down. Swansea are in for a tough season; new manager, loss of their midfield pivot and no Sigurdsson who singlehandedly won them points towards the end of last year. With bigger clubs coveting their talent (Sinclair has just stated he wants out) and Bugeyes Rogers hovering 2/1 is not really worth a bet, but is a very likely possibility.
Handicaps offer a bit of 15/1 value. I fancy Reading to perform better than the other promoted sides, but still can't have them to emulate the performance of Swansea last season. Taking last year as a frame the best price 48pt handicap would have them emulating Wigan's 15th place finish to be in with a chance which I'm not 100% sure about. The Pog will score given the service and this could be provided by Danny Guthrie. Very talented, excellent with a dead ball he's been waiting for a move like this to become the No.1 in a midfield, he could have the same sort of impact as Joey Barton did serving Andy Carroll for Newcastle two years ago. The flip side is that he could emulate Barton in other aspects too. The big red mark over Reading is Ian Harte. He was bobbins 10 years ago and time hasn't been kind. Moving on from the Royals; the 36pts you can take on Fulham does appeal. With a year under his belt big Martin Jol will be much more confident than last time out, he's spent a year allowing some of his talented youngsters and new imports to get used to the pace of the EPL. They may well lose Clint Dempsey before the end of August, but if this means more game time for the talented Ruiz or Karim Frei then it could serve him well, especially if any funds can be reinvested in another decent midfielder to accompany Mama Diarra behind Dembele. Mladen Petric was an astute capture to replace punters favourite the Pog and he just needs early goals to get confidence. More on him later. They underachieved last season in my opinion and I'm banking on them adding 9-12 points on last season's tally themselves which makes the handicap worth a potential 100pts in my eyes.
Goalden Boot betting should be centred around first choice forwards in decent sides at 20+/1 prices. Obviously EPL experience bodes well as the game is quicker and more physical here, but goals are goals at the end of the day. I like players coming into England from the Bundesliga which is the closest thing to the way the game is played here, this leads me straight to Lukas Podolski. He bagged 18 league goals for an atrocious Koln side as they got relegated last season and given the supply chain at the Emirates (Santi Cazorla is an exceptional purchase) and the fact he's guaranteed to play every week 33/1 is a BIG price for me. Mladen Petric as cited above also represents great value at 80/1 currently. I'd be tempting fate to include Nikica Jelavic on this list at 33/1, but if he picks up where he left off last season he'll do very well in a much stronger Everton side than started the 2011 season.
Other bets revolve around Everton actually having a good season. 9/2 to finish in the top 6 isn't really great value, but Paddy Power are offering 9/1 without the 'big 4' which I prefer. I see no reason why we can't build on last season - there's no guarantee of success from Liverpool, Tottenham and Newcastle in my eyes and if anything a season's rebuild required from the former two. Everton have stabilised, strengthened and at this point haven't sold a key member of the side (though there are still two weeks left for Baines or Felliani to be subject to a last minute £10m bid/sale from someone)
Championship
Bolton outright at 7/1. They had a horrendous run of injuries last season and with a fit (and better?) squad for this year should be at the forefront of the second tier. Stuart Holden, Mark Davies and Lee Chung-Yong are unquestionable Premier League talents in midfield. Grant Holt and Rickie Lambert have proved that big nasty grocks can score goals in that league which should bode well for Kevin Davies in a supplementary role to Marvin Sordell who I envisage will take the opportunity to play regularly and prove his talent. They've got a blend of experience and ability through the side and Coyle has to achieve something this year or else he'll be cast off into a discarded managers pile with the likes of Paul Jewell.
Birmingham e/w at 20/1 and on the handicaps at 13pts (18/1) appeal. They were fantastic at times last season and had they not had the distraction of the UEFA Cup which led to a stinker of a start I think they would have walked the league. Lee Clark has improved the playing squad and their young talent is a year older with more experience. There is of course the small matter that they're sat on a live volcano in the form of their dodgy owners which is likely to erupt at any point, but they played their football without consideration to this last season so there's no reason why they can't do so again.
Marvin Sordell at 25/1 for the Top Scorer is the sort of price I was hoping for, it's probably his level at this stage and he bagged 5 in 9 for Watford before Bolton picked him up early last season. The other one at the same 25/1 is someone who's done it before in Sylvan Ebanks-Blake. If Fletcher goes as expected it leaves him as striker #1 at Molyneux, provided the Wolves don't capitulate he should find the net regularly; again, he's a very good 2nd tier striker.
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